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Coupe de France

Referee: A Kherradji

Lyon Duchere

S T

4–1

Full-time

Bastia

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Duchere Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.