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Coupe de France
Referee: J Gueguen

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Coulaines 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
68 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dinan Léhon TA Rennes
41′
A. Caroff 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Vermet
52′
S. Welsh 🔁
↦ S. Lucas
67′
V. Lefèbvre 🔁
↦ S. Valla
67′
67′
🔁 A. Traoré
↦ C. Lamande
67′
🔁 T. Le Breton
↦ T. Marteau
2–1 A. Le Nouen
69′
3–1 C. Kitenge Ona Kasongo
70′
78′
🔁 M. Durand
↦ M. Crocq
78′
🔁 T. Bellier
↦ L. Conan
E. Bodin 🔁
↦ A. Le Nouen
85′
L. Dufouil 🔁
↦ A. Vermet
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dinan Léhon

P. Barbe
M. Mbongué
A. Huot
J. Mendy
S. Lucas
A. Vermet
E. Hari
S. Valla
M. Sam
A. Le Nouen
C. Kitenge Ona Kasongo
Bench (6)
S. Welsh
V. Lefèbvre
E. Bodin
L. Dufouil
A. Ezan
C. Guyon

Coach: S. Lamant

TA Rennes

A. Bouillennec
M. Lehuédé
T. Lepretre
L. Tirco
L. Conan
M. Crocq
A. Caroff
I. Touré
C. Lamande
T. Marteau
A. Poissonneau
Bench (7)
A. Traoré
T. Le Breton
M. Durand
T. Bellier
D. Hamon
R. Clenet
R. Freitas

Coach: J. Lenormand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.