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Coupe de France
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ancienne Château-Gontier 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Racing Besançon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Chalon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Bayeux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Montceau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Yvetot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Poitiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Reims 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Union Saint-Jean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Mazeres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Montreuil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Croix Football IC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 APM Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Hauts Lyonnais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Rhone-Vallee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Sarre Union 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Steenvoorde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Seyssinet-Pariset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
89 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
90 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.