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Coupe de France
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ancienne Château-Gontier 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Carnoux 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Chauvigny 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Racing Besançon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Canet Roussillon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Chalon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Chantilly 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Bayeux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Marmande 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Montceau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Yvetot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Poitiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Istres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Reims 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Union Saint-Jean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Mazeres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Montreuil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Beaucouzé 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Croix Football IC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 APM Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Hauts Lyonnais 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Rhone-Vallee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Sarre Union 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Steenvoorde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Seyssinet-Pariset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Espoir Ste Luce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
109 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
110 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moulien Gosier
12′
J. Gamby 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Bolmin
78′
80′
J. Gamby 1–2
2–2 N. Lucida
87′
90′
C. Beauvue 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.