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Coupe de France
5–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarreguemines Furiani-Agliani
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Reims 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
21 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarreguemines Furiani-Agliani
1–0 M. Boutargi
18′
2–0 L. Schnepp
23′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 S. Cessy
51′
62′
G. Laurens 3–1
63′
M. Jourdan 3–2
65′
F. Teixeira 3–3
4–3 L. Schnepp
79′
5–3 K. Djerrah
90′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Sarreguemines

Coach: D. Ferdjani

Furiani-Agliani

Coach: R. Paturel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.