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NM-cupen
Egersund
S S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Lyn
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Egersund Lyn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,2
This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Egersund 13. · Lyn 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromsdalen Uil 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Bjarg 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Aalesund 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Lillestrom 3 3 0 0 +5 9
5 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
7 Levanger 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 Sandnes ULF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
9 Lysekloster 3 2 0 1 +4 6
10 Lyn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
13 Egersund 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Eik-Tønsberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
15 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Brattvåg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
18 Odd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
19 Brann 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Viking 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Bryne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Sarpsborg 08 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Molde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
46 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Egersund Lyn
1–0 N. Tornvig
M. Sauer
22′
38′
🟨 M. Sylla
40′
A. Hellum 1–1
M. Sylla
45′
A. Hellum 1–2
Half-time 1–2
53′
🟨 W. Sell
S. Davis 🟨
56′
B. Maeland 🔁
↦ S. Davis
62′
H. Tadesse 🔁
↦ P. Pichkah
62′
62′
🔁 T. Myhre
↦ D. Fredriksen
62′
🔁 J. Skaug
↦ M. Johansen
N. Jenssen 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ A. Hellum
H. Kleppa 🔁
↦ K. Eggen
77′
S. Adegbenro 🔁
↦ N. Tornvig
77′
2–2 O. Kapskarmo
S. Vatne
77′
82′
🔁 E. Isufi
M. Sauer 🟨
88′
S. Vatne 🟨
89′
3–2 S. Vatne
90′
P. Hovland 🔁
↦ S. Vatne
97′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Egersund

1 A. Hermansen
91 S. Davis
31 I. Jonsson
5 N. Jenssen
13 P. Pichkah
45 M. Sauer
8 C. Sleveland
7 N. Tornvig
9 O. Kapskarmo
27 S. Vatne
21 K. Eggen
Bench (9)
12 A. A. Lonning S.
2 H. Kleppa
3 B. Maeland
14 A. Rogulj
18 P. Hovland
19 S. Adegbenro
22 H. Tadesse
29 M. Haheim-Elveseter
77 F. Nyenetue

Coach: Endre Eide

Lyn

1 A. Pedersen
27 I. Barnett
4 W. Sell
6 A. Midtskogen
18 H. Nilsen
29 M. Sylla
5 E. Bydal
9 A. Olsen
24 D. Fredriksen
10 M. Johansen
11 A. Hellum
Bench (9)
13 M. Lunde
17 D. Arzani
14 E. Isufi
19 T. Myhre
21 J. Skaug
25 M. Ingebrigtsen
26 O. Breistol
28 M. Niang
77 B. Hylen

Coach: Magnus Aadland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.