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KNVB Beker

Referee: B Nijhuis

Spakenburg

S S S

1–1

Full-time

Katwijk

S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg Katwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

This season — KNVB Beker · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spakenburg 4. · Katwijk 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Graafschap	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Spakenburg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	De Treffers	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Katwijk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	URK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
20	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
22	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	URK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spakenburg Katwijk

35′

🔁 R. Esseboom

↦ R. Susan

1–0 F. van der Linden ⚽

36′

41′

🟨 Robin Schulte

Maurice de Ruiter 🟨

44′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 M. Suleiman

↦ A. El Azzouti

60′

⚽ K. van Mil 1–1

L. Admiraal 🔁

↦ M. de Ruiter

61′

K. Wesdorp 🔁

↦ M. Veenhoven

73′

Youri Koelewijn 🟨

79′

N. Kroonenberg 🔁

↦ V. Dekker

80′

H. van Lopik 🔁

↦ Y. Koelewijn

80′

83′

🔁 A. Mercera

↦ D. Kunst

90′

🔁 F. Janmaat

↦ J. Ravensbergen

V. Volkert 🔁

↦ D. Green

98′

B. van de Beek 🔁

↦ W. Vink

98′

105′

🔁 D. Noort

↦ K. van Mil

2–1 F. van der Linden ⚽

121′

122′

⚽ T. Freriks 2–2

3–2 H. van Lopik ⚽

123′

124′

❌ R. van der Meer

penalty missed

4–2 V. Volkert ⚽

125′

126′

❌ R. Schulte

penalty missed

5–2 L. Admiraal ⚽

127′

Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Spakenburg

4-3-3

27 A. Damen G

2 N. Verhagen D

3 Masies Artien D

4 K. Werkman D

6 D. Green D

10 W. Vink M

21 M. Veenhoven M

29 Y. Koelewijn M

13 M. de Ruiter F

9 F. van der Linden F

97 V. Dekker F

Bench (11)

37 L. Admiraal

14 K. Wesdorp

20 N. Kroonenberg

15 H. van Lopik

5 V. Volkert

8 B. van de Beek

44 P. van de Groep

11 R. Eindhoven

22 D. Vlak

24 T. van den Akker

19 L. Ruizendaal

Coach: C. de Graaf

Katwijk

4-2-3-1

1 Jean-Paul van Leeuwen G

15 B. Sinteur D

6 R. van der Meer D

21 L. Bouwense D

3 J. Ravensbergen D

4 R. Susan M

8 R. Schulte M

9 T. Freriks M

14 D. Kunst M

11 K. van Mil M

7 A. El Azzouti F

Bench (8)

30 R. Esseboom

20 M. Suleiman

17 A. Mercera

25 F. Janmaat

10 D. Noort

31 T. Fikkert

2 Q. Poulina

28 M. Kooij

Coach: A. Correia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

12. Jan KNVB 3 years ago

19. Oct KNVB 3 years ago

20. Sep KNVB 4 years ago

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

2,1 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

15,7 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Spakenburg

Katwijk

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee