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KNVB Beker

Referee: M Eijgelsheim

Katwijk

2–1

Full-time

DVS 33 Ermelo

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Kozakken Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
47	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Kozakken Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Katwijk DVS 33 Ermelo

1–0 M. Suleiman ⚽

T. Freriks

4′

2–0 T. Freriks ⚽

A. El Azzouti

28′

Half-time 2–0

46′

🔁 T. van de Berg

↦ A. Kruisheer

R. van der Meer 🔁

↦ L. Weistra

60′

L. Bouwense 🔁

↦ J. Ravensbergen

60′

H. Botermans 🔁

↦ K. van Mil

60′

🔁 L. Huber

↦ M. van Dijk

60′

🔁 N. van Hilten

↦ E. Yalvuz

70′

⚽ S. de Wit 2–1

A. Mercera 🔁

↦ T. Freriks

73′

Q. Christina 🟨

76′

R. Susan 🔁

↦ Q. Christina

87′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Katwijk

1 Jean-Paul van Leeuwen

5 P. Kok

18 K. Blokland

3 J. Ravensbergen

15 B. Sinteur

22 Q. Christina

10 L. Weistra

7 A. El Azzouti

9 T. Freriks

11 K. van Mil

20 M. Suleiman

Bench (7)

6 R. van der Meer

21 L. Bouwense

19 H. Botermans

17 A. Mercera

4 R. Susan

25 F. Janmaat

31 T. Fikkert

Coach: A. Correia

DVS 33 Ermelo

13 D. Huiskamp

3 T. Evre

6 F. Olijve

16 S. de Wit

18 A. Kruisheer

8 M. van Dijk

10 S. Nijland

21 O. El Ghazouani

11 B. Roemeon

34 N. El Ablak

22 E. Yalvuz

Bench (8)

4 T. van de Berg

12 L. Huber

2 N. van Hilten

20 M. Valstar

1 P. Gorczyca

19 L. van Wetering

9 L. Miedema

17 S. Schipper

Coach: P. Wesselink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Katwijk

DVS 33 Ermelo

Odds comparison

Recent matches