Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Man United
Leeds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | +28 | +2.1 | 50 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | +32 | +3.4 | 45 |
| 3 |
Man United
|
21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | +8 | -0.7 | 42 |
| 4 |
Newcastle
|
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | +22 | +0.9 | 40 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +10 | -1.5 | 39 |
| 6 |
Brighton
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +11 | +2.5 | 34 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | +7 | +1.4 | 33 |
| 8 |
Fulham
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +2 | -0.6 | 32 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | +1 | +0.9 | 30 |
| 10 |
Liverpool
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +6 | -0.3 | 29 |
| 11 |
Aston Villa
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -6 | -0.1 | 28 |
| 12 |
Crystal Palace
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -10 | -3.2 | 24 |
| 13 |
Nott'm Forest
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -18 | +0.0 | 24 |
| 14 |
Leicester
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -5 | -0.3 | 21 |
| 15 |
Wolves
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -15 | -1.9 | 20 |
| 16 |
West Ham
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | +1.7 | 19 |
| 17 |
Leeds
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -8 | +0.6 | 18 |
| 18 |
Everton
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -12 | -1.0 | 18 |
| 19 |
Bournemouth
|
21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -24 | -1.8 | 17 |
| 20 |
Southampton
|
21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -21 | -2.3 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David de Gea
G
Diogo Dalot
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
L. Shaw
D
Fred
M
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Rashford
M
Bruno Fernandes
M
A. Garnacho
M
W. Weghorst
F
Coach: E. ten Hag
I. Meslier
G
L. Ayling
D
R. Koch
D
M. Wöber
D
P. Struijk
D
W. McKennie
M
T. Adams
M
W. Gnonto
M
P. Bamford
F
Coach: M. Skubala
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Man United
Crystal Palace
Man United
Nott'm Forest
Man United
Reading
Nott'm Forest
Man United
Arsenal
Man United
S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.