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KNVB Beker

Referee: D Makkelie

Twente

U S U U U

0–1

Full-time

Ajax

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 28. · Ajax 30. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spakenburg	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	De Graafschap	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	De Treffers	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Nijmegen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Katwijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+5	6
9	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	URK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
21	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
22	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
23	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Spakenburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	URK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Katwijk	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.