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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Ajax
T U U U S
0–0
Full-time
Twente
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 15/13 matches
Win Ø 65%
60%
69%
Points per game
2,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
73%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
73%
23%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 24
5 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 3. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 15 10 4 1 +22 34
2 AZ Alkmaar 16 10 3 3 +11 33
3 Ajax 15 9 4 2 +27 31
4 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 1 4 +22 31
5 Twente 13 9 2 2 +18 29
6 Sparta Rotterdam 13 7 3 3 +11 24
7 Utrecht 14 6 4 4 +0 22
8 Heerenveen 15 5 6 4 +0 21
9 Nijmegen 15 3 9 3 +3 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 6 5 -1 18
11 Waalwijk 16 4 6 6 -4 18
12 Excelsior 15 5 1 9 -20 16
13 For Sittard 15 4 3 8 -9 15
14 Vitesse 15 3 5 7 -13 14
15 Groningen 15 3 3 9 -13 12
16 Volendam 16 3 3 10 -22 12
17 FC Emmen 15 2 5 8 -16 11
18 Cambuur 15 2 2 11 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Twente
13′
🟨 Alfons Sampsted
Devyne Rensch 🟥
35′
Half-time 0–0
M. Kudus 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
46′
51′
🟨 Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Dušan Tadić 🟨
55′
61′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
66′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ V. Misidjan
67′
🔁 J. Brenet
↦ A. Sampsted
67′
🔁 C. Tzolis
↦ V. Černý
S. Bergwijn 🔁
↦ Francisco Conceição
71′
73′
🟨 Christos Tzolis
77′
🔁 M. Kjølø
↦ M. Sadílek
85′
🔁 M. Ugalde
↦ M. Vlap
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
12 G. Rulli G
19 J. Sánchez D
2 J. Timber D
15 D. Rensch D
3 C. Bassey D
6 D. Klaassen M
4 E. Álvarez M
8 K. Taylor M
35 Francisco Conceição F
9 B. Brobbey F
10 D. Tadić F
Bench (12)
20 M. Kudus
7 S. Bergwijn
22 R. Pasveer
28 K. Fitz-Jim
57 J. Hato
26 Y. Regeer
43 O. Aertssen
1 M. Stekelenburg
5 O. Wijndal
23 S. Berghuis
37 C. Rasmussen
18 L. Lucca

Coach: A. Schreuder

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
12 A. Sampsted D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
23 M. Sadílek M
7 V. Černý M
18 M. Vlap M
10 V. Misidjan M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (12)
11 D. Rots
20 J. Brenet
19 C. Tzolis
21 M. Kjølø
27 M. Ugalde
22 P. Tytoń
26 D. Cleonise
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
14 S. Steijn
17 A. Salah-Eddine
16 I. El Maach
38 M. Bruns

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,35
U ✓
5,38
B
7,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,42
U2,5 ✓
2,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.