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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Twente
T U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
3,3
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
5,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 13. · Ajax 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Groningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Waalwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -4 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Cambuur 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Ajax
Queensy Menig 🟨
10′
17′
🟨 Davy Klaassen
Half-time 0–1
52′
S. Haller 0–1
55′
🟨 Sébastien Haller
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ L. Ilić
65′
65′
🔁 D. Rensch
↦ R. Gravenberch
65′
🔁 Antony
↦ S. Berghuis
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
66′
M. Hilgers 🔁
↦ G. Smal
72′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ M. Ugalde
84′
84′
🔁 David Neres
↦ S. Haller
1–1 R. Pröpper
87′
88′
🔁 Danilo
↦ D. Klaassen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
5 G. Smal D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
23 M. Sadílek M
14 M. Vlap M
8 L. Ilić M
19 R. Zerrouki M
11 Q. Menig M
27 M. Ugalde F
Bench (11)
26 D. Cleonise
32 J. Bosch
35 M. Hilgers
39 D. Rots
36 L. Everink
18 D. Limnios
43 D. Đumić
20 G. Roemeratoe
38 M. Bruns
22 J. de Lange
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Ajax

4-2-3-1
1 M. Stekelenburg G
17 D. Blind D
12 N. Mazraoui D
4 E. Álvarez M
21 Lisandro Martínez D
2 J. Timber D
6 D. Klaassen M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić M
23 S. Berghuis M
22 S. Haller F
Bench (12)
15 D. Rensch
11 Antony
7 David Neres
9 Danilo
19 Z. Labyad
18 J. Ekkelenkamp
16 J. Gorter
28 L. Magallán
3 P. Schuurs
26 V. Jensen
32 R. Pasveer
25 K. Taylor

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,86
U ✓
5,82
B
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,35
U2,5 ✓
3,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.