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KNVB Beker

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Excelsior

U T U S T

0–2

Full-time

Groningen

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 16. · Groningen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hercules	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	RKAV Volendam	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	DEM	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Excelsior Maassluis	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Cambuur	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Hoogeveen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	De Treffers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
24	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
25	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	-1	6
26	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
27	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
28	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
30	TEC	3	1	1	1	-3	4
31	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+4	3
33	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
35	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
36	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	HHC	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Dordrecht	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
60	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
107	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
108	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	DEM	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	RKAV Volendam	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	-1	6
10	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+6	3
15	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+4	3
17	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	HHC	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Ijsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
40	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Hercules	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	De Treffers	2	1	0	1	-4	3
35	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Eemdijk	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	TEC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.