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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Excelsior

U S T S T

2–4

Full-time

Groningen

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 21%

30%

11%

Points per game

1,2

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,6

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 10. · Groningen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	+34	30
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+24	25
3	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Heracles	10	6	2	2	+4	20
5	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Heerenveen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	3	4	+2	12
9	Vitesse	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-7	12
12	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Willem II	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	For Sittard	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	De Graafschap	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	FC Emmen	10	2	3	5	-14	9
17	NAC Breda	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Groningen	9	1	1	7	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+22	15
2	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+16	13
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
11	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	3	1	+4	6
12	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
13	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
8	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-7	5
15	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	De Graafschap	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	NAC Breda	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.