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KNVB Beker
Referee: A Bos
Vitesse
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse AFC Amsterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 10
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 17. · AFC Amsterdam 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Quick Boys 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 RKAV Volendam 4 3 0 1 +9 9
4 Nijmegen 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Groningen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
6 DEM 4 3 0 1 +4 9
7 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 For Sittard 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Excelsior Maassluis 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 0 1 +8 6
11 Almere City 3 2 0 1 +7 6
12 Cambuur 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
14 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Spakenburg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
16 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 AFC Amsterdam 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 De Treffers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +0 6
23 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
24 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
25 GVVV Veenendaal 3 2 0 1 -1 6
26 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
27 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Katwijk 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Heerenveen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
35 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 HHC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dordrecht 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
60 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Twente 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
110 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.