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KNVB Beker
Referee: A Bos
Vitesse
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse AFC Amsterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 10
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 17. · AFC Amsterdam 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Quick Boys 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 RKAV Volendam 4 3 0 1 +9 9
4 Nijmegen 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Groningen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
6 DEM 4 3 0 1 +4 9
7 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 For Sittard 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Excelsior Maassluis 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 0 1 +8 6
11 Almere City 3 2 0 1 +7 6
12 Cambuur 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
14 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Spakenburg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
16 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 AFC Amsterdam 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 De Treffers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +0 6
23 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
24 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
25 GVVV Veenendaal 3 2 0 1 -1 6
26 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
27 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Katwijk 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Heerenveen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
35 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 HHC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dordrecht 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
60 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Twente 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
110 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse AFC Amsterdam
Dominik Oroz 🟨
13′
1–0 D. Pröpper
D. Oroz
27′
Half-time 1–0
G. van Zwam 🔁
↦ D. Oroz
46′
46′
🔁 W. Been
↦ O. Siali
A. Boutrah 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
59′
E. Cornelisse 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
59′
59′
🔁 J. van der Greft
↦ N. Benninga
59′
🔁 M. Jesse
↦ M. Platje
M. van Ginkel 🔁
↦ D. Pröpper
60′
T. Domgjoni 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
71′
77′
🔁 D. Ascencion
↦ M. Hoek
78′
🔁 S. Hetli
↦ G. van Weerdenburg
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
31 M. Schubert G
6 D. Oroz D
29 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 R. Hendriks D
5 M. Pinto D
20 M. Meulensteen M
24 D. Pröpper M
42 M. Manhoef M
21 M. Tielemans M
25 G. de Regt M
58 A. Visser F
Bench (12)
43 G. van Zwam
7 A. Boutrah
13 E. Cornelisse
8 M. van Ginkel
22 T. Domgjoni
56 M. Egbring
9 J. Voelkerling Persson
1 E. Room
19 T. Buitink
17 K. Kozłowski
55 T. Bramel
2 C. Arcus

Coach: E. Sturing

AFC Amsterdam

5-3-2
1 G. van Zetten G
26 M. van Kempen D
4 Dalian Maatsen D
18 T. Linthorst D
15 G. van Weerdenburg D
5 C. Claver D
6 N. Benninga M
20 O. Siali M
8 M. Hoek M
7 M. Platje F
16 S. de Mooij F
Bench (12)
28 W. Been
27 J. van der Greft
11 M. Jesse
17 D. Ascencion
23 S. Hetli
25 D. Nolet
21 N. Hasselbaink
24 M. Eliasar
30 M. Dijkstra
9 R. Ignacio
12 S. Ederveen
29 M. Mengerink

Coach: B. Nihom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.