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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Rozendal

AFC Amsterdam

1–0

Full-time

Zwolle

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AFC Amsterdam Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

8,0

3,0

Scored

4,0

1,2

Conceded

4,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	DEM	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
20	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
21	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
23	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
51	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
88	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	DEM	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
11	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
32	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
2	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
4	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
56	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AFC Amsterdam Zwolle

J. van der Greft 🔁

↦ S. de Mooij

36′

38′

🔁 D. van der Haar

↦ L. Czyborra

38′

🔁 Nico Serrano

↦ L. Thy

Half-time 0–0

T. Linthorst 🟨

57′

R. Ignacio 🔁

↦ O. Siali

66′

S. Owobowale 🔁

↦ M. Jesse

66′

82′

🔁 D. Huiberts

↦ O. Velanas

82′

🔁 A. MacNulty

↦ E. Reijnders

W. Been 🔁

↦ N. Benninga

86′

1–0 W. Been ⚽

J. van der Greft

86′

G. Curiel 🟨

92′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AFC Amsterdam

1 G. van Zetten

3 G. Markiet

4 Dalian Maatsen

18 T. Linthorst

20 O. Siali

5 C. Claver

2 G. Curiel

8 M. Hoek

6 N. Benninga

16 S. de Mooij

11 M. Jesse

Bench (12)

27 J. van der Greft

9 R. Ignacio

19 S. Owobowale

28 W. Been

17 D. Ascencion

14 Darren Maatsen

25 D. Nolet

26 M. van Kempen

30 M. Dijkstra

21 N. Hasselbaink

24 M. Eliasar

12 S. Ederveen

Coach: B. Nihom

Zwolle

40 M. Hauptmeijer

2 B. van Polen

20 L. Czyborra

S. Kersten

7 Y. Namli

O. Velanas

D. van den Berg

Z. Buurmeester

14 A. Vellios

9 L. Thy

23 E. Reijnders

Bench (10)

33 D. van der Haar

19 Nico Serrano

8 D. Huiberts

15 A. MacNulty

34 N. Fichtinger

3 L. Görlich

41 D. Verduin

1 J. Schendelaar

17 A. Fontana

6 A. El Azzouzi

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

21. Sep KNVB 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

AFC Amsterdam

Zwolle

Odds comparison

Recent matches