KNVB Beker
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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FC Eindhoven
For Sittard
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RKAV Volendam
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |
DEM
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |
Quick Boys
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |
Hercules
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Groene Ster
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 6 |
De Treffers
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 7 |
GVVV Veenendaal
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |
Sparta Nijkerk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Spakenburg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 10 |
Hoogeveen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |
Eemdijk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |
Ijsselmeervogels
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |
OJC Rosmalen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 |
UNA
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
Gemert
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 16 |
RKSV Nuenen
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 |
SVV Scheveningen
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 |
SJC Noordwijk
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 20 |
TEC
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |
Almere City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 22 |
Katwijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 23 |
Kloetinge
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 24 |
Heerenveen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 25 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 26 |
Blauw Geel
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 27 |
Cambuur
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 28 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 29 |
GVV Unitas
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 30 |
Nijmegen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 31 |
Dordrecht
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 32 |
Willem II
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 33 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 34 |
HHC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 35 |
Utrecht
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 36 |
Meerssen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 37 |
Excelsior
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 38 |
Noordwijk
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 39 |
Vitesse
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 40 |
Den Haag
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
AFC Amsterdam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
For Sittard
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
FC Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
Groningen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Harkemase Boys
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 46 |
Hoek
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 47 |
Sportlust '46
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 48 |
De Graafschap
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 49 |
Koninklijke HFC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 50 |
Westlandia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 51 |
HVCH
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 52 |
FC Lisse
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 53 |
Csv Apeldoorn
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 54 |
Olde Veste '54
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 55 |
DVS 33 Ermelo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 56 |
Barendrecht
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 57 |
Staphorst
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 58 |
Rijnvogels
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 59 |
Dovo
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 60 |
Vvsb
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 61 |
Hsc 21
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 62 |
Waalwijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 63 |
SteDoCo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 64 |
Den Bosch
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 65 |
SC Genemuiden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 66 |
Berkum
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 67 |
TOGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 68 |
Bon Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 69 |
AWC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
AGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Veensche Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Kozakken Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
URK
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
NAC Breda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Zwolle
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Telstar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
Baronie
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
XerxesDZB (Zat)
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Volendam
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 81 |
FC OSS
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 82 |
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 83 |
HSV ODIN 59
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 84 |
Roda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 85 |
Jubbega
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 86 |
Chevremont
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 87 |
Kampong
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Helmond Sport
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 89 |
HV & CV Quick
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 90 |
FC Emmen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 91 |
ONS Sneek
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 92 |
Heracles
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 93 |
Nieuwkoop
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 94 |
Purmersteijn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 95 |
MVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 96 |
Avanti '31
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 97 |
VVV Venlo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 98 |
OSS '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 99 |
ACV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 100 |
SVOD '22
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 101 |
Zwaluw VFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 102 |
Blauw Wit '34
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 103 |
Bunde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 104 |
Groen Wit '62
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 105 |
BOL
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
FC OSS
FC Eindhoven
Almere City
FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
Almere City
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
Willem II
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.