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KNVB Beker

Referee: B Nijhuis

AZ Alkmaar

U S T T S

3–1

Full-time

Quick Boys

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Quick Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,5

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

23 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 4

10 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 14. · Quick Boys 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Noordwijk	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Barendrecht	4	3	0	1	+9	9
5	Sparta Nijkerk	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	9
7	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	ASWH	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	3	0	1	+2	9
10	Eemdijk	4	3	0	1	-1	9
11	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	1	0	+4	7
12	De Graafschap	3	2	0	1	+5	6
13	Waalwijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
14	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
24	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
25	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
26	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
27	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
28	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
29	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
30	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+5	4
31	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
32	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
33	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
34	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
35	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Noordwijk	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	De Graafschap	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Waalwijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	ASWH	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
14	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
33	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
34	Eemdijk	2	1	0	1	-4	3
35	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
36	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
38	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.