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Copa del Rey
Referee: Mario Melero
Sociedad
T T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Osasuna
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
2,8
3,3
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sociedad 2. · Osasuna 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 5 5 0 0 +14 15
2 Sociedad 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Osasuna 4 4 0 0 +8 12
4 Valencia 4 4 0 0 +7 12
5 Leganes 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Getafe 5 3 1 1 +0 10
7 Celta 4 3 0 1 +9 9
8 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +9 9
9 Vallecano 4 3 0 1 +6 9
10 Pontevedra 4 3 0 1 +6 9
11 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
12 Almeria 4 3 0 1 +4 9
13 Elche 4 3 0 1 +4 9
14 Ourense CF 4 3 0 1 +1 9
15 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +8 6
16 Valladolid 3 2 0 1 +4 6
17 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Barbastro 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Santander 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 Ferrol 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Cartagena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 Marbella 3 2 0 1 +1 6
25 Eldense 3 2 0 1 +0 6
26 UD Logroñés 3 1 2 0 +1 5
27 Zaragoza 2 1 1 0 +4 4
28 Girona 2 1 1 0 +4 4
29 Estepona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 Granada 3 1 1 1 +1 4
31 Tenerife 3 1 1 1 +1 4
32 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
33 Castellon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
34 Zamora 2 1 1 0 +1 4
35 Orihuela 2 1 1 0 +1 4
36 Deportiva Minera 3 1 1 1 +0 4
37 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
38 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +4 3
39 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 1 0 1 +3 3
40 Burgos 2 1 0 1 +2 3
41 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
42 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
43 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
44 Barakaldo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Cultural Leonesa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Europa Fc 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Gimnastic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Conquense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Cacereño 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 Ejea 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
60 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Salamanca UDS 2 1 0 1 -6 3
62 Ponferradina 3 0 2 1 -2 2
63 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Ath Bilbao 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Olot 2 0 1 1 -2 1
71 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
72 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
73 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
74 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
75 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Mallorca 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
125 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Osasuna
1–0 Barrenetxea
Mikel Oyarzabal
21′
2–0 Brais Méndez
Mikel Oyarzabal
31′
35′
🟥 Alejandro Catena
35′
ℹ️ Alejandro Catena
VAR: Card upgrade
37′
🔁 Jorge Herrando
↦ Kike Barja
Half-time 2–0
Mikel Oyarzabal 🟨
46′
50′
🟨 Jon Moncayola
51′
🟨 Sergio Herrera
O. Óskarsson 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
55′
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
55′
J. Aramburu 🔁
↦ Zubeldia
60′
Jon Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Pablo Marín
60′
60′
🔁 Pablo Ibáñez
↦ Moncayola
60′
🔁 Lucas Torró
↦ Rubén García
60′
🔁 Bryan Zaragoza
↦ Aimar Oroz
71′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ A. Budimir
77′
🟨 Pablo Ibáñez
80′
🟨 Jesús Areso
S. Becker 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
81′
Aihen Muñoz 🟨
87′
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Aritz Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
14 T. Kubo M
23 Brais Méndez M
28 Pablo Marín M
7 Barrenetxea M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (11)
9 O. Óskarsson
17 Sergio Gómez
19 J. Aramburu
16 Jon Olasagasti
11 S. Becker
8 A. Zakharyan
24 L. Sučić
13 Unai Marrero
20 Jon Pacheco
22 Beñat Turrientes
12 Javi López

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Osasuna

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
22 E. Boyomo D
24 Catena D
3 Juan Cruz D
7 Moncayola M
18 Iker Muñoz M
14 Rubén García M
10 Aimar Oroz M
11 Kike Barja M
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (11)
5 Jorge Herrando
8 Pablo Ibáñez
6 Lucas Torró
19 Bryan Zaragoza
9 Raúl García
16 Moi Gómez
15 Rubén Peña
23 Abel Bretones
13 Aitor Fernández
20 José Arnáiz
4 Unai García

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.