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KNVB Beker

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Utrecht

U T U S T

1–2

Full-time

Twente

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

7,0

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,95 xG 1,93

37% Possession 63%

10 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 11

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 39. · Twente 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.0	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	–	9
3	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	–	9
4	Hsc 21	4	3	0	1	-1	-2.7	9
5	Sportlust '46	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.0	7
6	SC Genemuiden	4	2	1	1	+0	–	7
7	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+10	+2.7	6
8	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	–	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	2	2	0	0	+7	+0.2	6
10	Twente	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.4	6
11	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
12	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
13	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
14	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.4	6
15	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
16	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
17	Volendam	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
18	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	–	6
19	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
20	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
21	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
22	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
23	Excelsior Maassluis	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
24	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
25	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
26	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	–	6
27	Roda	2	1	1	0	+4	–	4
28	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
29	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
30	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
31	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+3	-0.2	3
32	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
33	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
35	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
36	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
37	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
38	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
39	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
40	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
41	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
42	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
43	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
45	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
46	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
47	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
48	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
49	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
50	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
51	FC OSS	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
52	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
53	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
54	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
55	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
56	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
57	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
58	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
59	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
60	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
61	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
62	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
63	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
64	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
65	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
66	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
67	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
68	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
69	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
70	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
71	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
72	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
73	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
74	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
75	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
76	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
77	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
78	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
79	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
80	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
81	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
82	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
83	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
84	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
85	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
86	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
87	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
88	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
89	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
90	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
91	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
92	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
93	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
94	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
95	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
96	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
97	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
98	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
99	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
100	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
101	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
102	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
103	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0
104	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
105	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
106	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
107	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
108	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
109	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	–	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
4	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
5	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
6	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
7	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	–	6
8	Hsc 21	3	2	0	1	-4	-2.7	6
9	Sportlust '46	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
10	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
11	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
12	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+3	-0.2	3
13	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
15	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
16	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
17	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
18	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
24	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
25	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
26	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
27	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
28	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
29	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
30	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
31	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
32	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
35	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
36	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
37	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
38	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
51	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
52	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
53	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
55	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
56	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
57	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
64	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
65	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
66	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
67	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
69	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	–	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.4	6
3	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
5	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
6	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	SC Genemuiden	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
8	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+9	+2.7	3
9	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.2	3
11	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
12	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
13	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
14	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
15	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
16	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
17	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
19	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
24	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
25	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
26	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
27	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
28	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
29	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
30	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
31	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
32	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
33	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
34	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
35	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
36	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
37	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
38	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
39	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
40	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
41	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
42	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
43	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
47	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
51	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
52	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
54	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
55	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
57	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
64	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
65	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
67	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
69	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
70	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
71	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
72	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
73	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
74	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
75	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
76	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
77	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
78	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.