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Europa League
Referee: Irfan Peljto
Utrecht
S U T U U
1–2
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/5 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 1,65
43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Utrecht Nott'm Forest
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Sangare
↦ J. McAtee
46′
🔁 E. Anderson
↦ Douglas Luiz
Miguel Rodríguez 🟨
47′
52′
⚽ A. Kalimuendo 0–1
M. van der Hoorn 🔁
↦ M. Didden
63′
65′
🟨 Elliot Anderson
70′
🔁 N. Milenkovic
↦ Murillo
1–1 M. van der Hoorn ⚽
S. El Karouani
73′
78′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ N. Dominguez
A. Blake 🔁
↦ Y. Cathline
80′
N. Viergever 🔁
↦ M. Eerdhuijzen
80′
86′
🔁 Igor Jesus
↦ A. Kalimuendo
88′
⚽ Igor Jesus 1–2
D. Ndoye
89′
🟨 Igor Jesus
Gjivai Zechiël 🟨
90′
M. Jonathans 🔁
↦ M. Rodriguez
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
40 M. Didden D
44 M. Eerdhuijzen D
16 S. El Karouani D
20 D. de Wit M
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
22 M. Rodriguez F
91 S. Haller F
10 Y. Cathline F
Bench (11)
25 M. Brouwer
53 J. Eversen
3 M. van der Hoorn
5 K. Finnsson
8 C. Bozdogan
14 Z. Iqbal
15 A. Blake
24 N. Viergever
26 M. Jonathans
43 R. El Arguioui
46 J. van Ommeren

Coach: Ron Jans

Nott'm Forest

4-3-3
13 John Victor G
44 Z. Abbott D
4 Morato D
5 Murillo D
35 O. Zinchenko D
24 J. McAtee M
12 Douglas Luiz M
16 N. Dominguez M
14 D. Ndoye F
15 A. Kalimuendo F
7 C. Hudson-Odoi F
Bench (11)
67 K. Willows
63 A. Bott
3 N. Williams
6 I. Sangare
8 E. Anderson
10 M. Gibbs-White
19 Igor Jesus
29 D. Bakwa
30 W. Boly
31 N. Milenkovic
37 N. Savona

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.