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KNVB Beker
Spakenburg
S T T S S
3–6
Full-time
Twente
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
1,5
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
4,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,91 xG 3,34
44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 31
8 Shots on target 15
3 Blocked shots 6
9 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 3
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spakenburg 8. · Twente 30.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hsc 21 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Hoogeveen 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Hoek 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Sportlust '46 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 SC Genemuiden 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Telstar 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Heracles 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Almere City 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Halsteren 3 2 0 1 +2 6
15 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
16 Dovo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
17 ROHDA Raalte 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
19 Excelsior Maassluis 3 2 0 1 +0 6
20 GVVV Veenendaal 3 2 0 1 +0 6
21 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 FC Lisse 3 2 0 1 -1 6
23 Roda 2 1 1 0 +4 4
24 Den Bosch 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Barendrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +7 3
27 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
28 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Twente 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Zwolle 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 For Sittard 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 HHC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 FC OSS 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 AFC Amsterdam 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
58 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
65 Katwijk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
66 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 FC Eindhoven 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Excelsior 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 De Graafschap 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 MVV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
104 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spakenburg Twente
40′
D. Rots 0–1
M. Pjaca
Tim Linthorst 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Hlynsson
↦ M. Pjaca
46′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ S. Lammers
H. van Lopik 🔁
↦ T. Linthorst
51′
Sam van Huffel 🟨
52′
54′
S. Orjasaeter 0–2
T. van den Belt
59′
T. van den Belt 0–3
J. Puriel 🔁
↦ K. Wesdorp
64′
D. Kunst 🔁
↦ J. den Haan
65′
R. Junte 🔁
↦ A. El Azzouti
65′
67′
🔁 A. Verschueren
↦ D. Rots
67′
🔁 D. Weidmann
↦ S. Orjasaeter
1–3 F. van der Linden
D. Kunst
69′
Jens Guiting 🟨
71′
73′
K. Hlynsson 1–4
R. van Wolfswinkel
75′
D. Weidmann 1–5
T. van den Belt
76′
🔁 B. Kuipers
↦ M. Rots
O. Kok 🔁
↦ F. van der Linden
77′
Killian van Mil 🟨
83′
86′
R. van Wolfswinkel 1–6
2–6 D. Kunst
R. Junte
88′
3–6 H. van Lopik
90′
Full-time 3–6

Line-ups

Spakenburg

5-4-1
1 M. Heus G
25 J. den Haan D
3 M. Apau D
81 T. Linthorst D
44 J. Guiting D
5 D. Green D
7 A. El Azzouti M
14 K. Wesdorp M
8 S. van Huffel M
22 K. van Mil M
9 F. van der Linden F
Bench (12)
13 J. Houweling
23 K. van Dorp
4 C. Claver
17 K. van Dieren
15 H. van Lopik
16 O. Kok
18 F. Kourouma
10 D. Kunst
27 J. Puriel
21 M. Prins
20 F. Quaedvlieg
11 R. Junte

Coach: Chris de Graaf

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
23 S. Lemkin D
43 R. Nijstad D
39 M. Rots D
4 M. Kjolo M
20 T. van den Belt M
7 M. Pjaca M
11 D. Rots M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (10)
21 S. Karssies
22 P. Tyton
5 B. Kuipers
12 G. Peixoto
3 R. Propper
33 B. Titulaer
14 K. Hlynsson
32 A. Verschueren
42 D. Weidmann
9 R. van Wolfswinkel

Coach: John van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.