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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Pedro Ramalho

Olhanense

S S

0–2

Full-time

Belenenses

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olhanense Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

This season — Taça de Portugal · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Olhanense 12. · Belenenses 32. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Fontinhas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Olhanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Canelas 2010	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
26	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Vilafranquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
60	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
63	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
64	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
122	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
123	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
126	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
127	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
128	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
130	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
131	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
132	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
133	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
134	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Vilafranquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
37	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
81	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olhanense Belenenses

15′

⚽ Jefferson 0–1

T. Maia 🟨

23′

J. Brito 🟨

25′

43′

🟨 J. Souza

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 Edgar Pacheco

↦ Jefferson

46′

🔁 Rúben Oliveira

↦ Braima Sambú

52′

⚽ Tiago Lopes 0–2

63′

🟨 T. Castro

64′

🔁 B. Saramago

↦ Francisco Teixeira

R. Amessan 🔁

↦ B. Barataud

70′

F. Agyemang 🟨

75′

F. Sanchez 🔁

↦ João Victor

77′

🔁 Henrique

↦ Martim Coxixo

Freddy Gonçalves 🔁

↦ Cláudio Major

83′

Lamba 🔁

↦ F. Agyemang

83′

Tiago Baptista 🔁

↦ Fabricio Palacios

83′

🔁 Kikas

↦ Tomás Castro

84′

🟨 R. Oliveira

Edson Pires 🟨

84′

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Olhanense

Tiago Maia

Jair Brito

Gabriel Passos

Rodrigo Dantas

Edson Pires

F. Agyemang

Hugo Aubourg

Fabricio Palacios

João Victor

Cláudio Major

B. Barataud

Bench (9)

R. Amessan

F. Sanchez

Freddy Gonçalves

Lamba

Tiago Baptista

Tirso

Ricardo Esteves

Pedro Pereira

Rafael Pereira

Coach: Jorge Viegas

Belenenses

Dylan Silva

Nuno Tomás

Danny Henriques

Martim Coxixo

A. Tembeng

Diogo Tavares

Francisco Teixeira

Tomás Castro

Braima Sambú

Jefferson

Tiago Lopes

Bench (7)

Edgar Pacheco

Rúben Oliveira

B. Saramago

Henrique

Kikas

Álvaro Ramalho

T. Boni

Coach: Nandinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

11. Sep TP 4 years ago

Referee

Pedro Ramalho · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

25,1 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Olhanense

Belenenses

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee