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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Korona Kielce
T U T T U
0–2
Full-time
Stal Mielec
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
21 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
29 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Stal Mielec 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 12 8 2 2 +11 26
2 Legia 12 7 3 2 +2 24
3 Wisla Plock 12 6 3 3 +10 21
4 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Widzew Lodz 12 6 2 4 +5 20
6 Stal Mielec 12 6 1 5 -1 19
7 Lech Poznan 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Jagiellonia 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Cracovia 12 5 2 5 +4 17
10 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 -2 17
11 Slask Wroclaw 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Warta Poznan 12 4 2 6 -3 14
13 Radomiak Radom 12 4 2 6 -5 14
14 Gornik Zabrze 11 3 4 4 -3 13
15 Korona Kielce 12 3 3 6 -4 12
16 Piast Gliwice 12 3 2 7 -3 11
17 Lechia Gdansk 11 2 2 7 -11 8
18 Legnica 11 1 2 8 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Stal Mielec
5′
M. Matras 0–1
M. Lebedyński
Konrad Forenc 🟨
8′
11′
ℹ️ Piotr Wlazło
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–1
D. Błanik 🔁
↦ D. Takáč
46′
47′
S. Hamulic 0–2
M. Flis
53′
🟨 Kamil Kruk
Yevgeni Shikavka 🟨
55′
J. Nojszewski 🔁
↦ O. Sewerzyński
59′
A. Frączczak 🔁
↦ E. Shikavka
59′
J. Kiełb 🔁
↦ A. Deja
66′
J. Podgórski 🔁
↦ J. Łukowski
70′
70′
🔁 M. Domański
↦ A. Ratajczyk
72′
🔁 M. Wolski
↦ F. Gerbowski
Jacek Podgórski 🟨
79′
Janusz Nojszewski 🟨
81′
85′
ℹ️ Mateusz Matras
VAR: Card upgrade
87′
🟥 Mateusz Matras
90′
🔁 Leândro
↦ S. Hamulic
Saša Balić 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Fabian Hiszpański
Adrian Danek 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
1 K. Forenc G
23 A. Danek D
66 M. Trojak D
90 K. Petrov D
33 S. Balić D
22 A. Deja M
7 J. Łukowski M
26 O. Sewerzyński M
13 R. Deaconu M
8 D. Takáč M
99 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
17 D. Błanik
16 J. Nojszewski
9 A. Frączczak
10 J. Kiełb
6 J. Podgórski
31 M. Strzeboński
73 M. Zapytowski
4 P. Malarczyk
11 Ł. Sierpina

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Stal Mielec

3-4-2-1
41 B. Mrozek G
74 K. Kruk D
21 M. Matras D
4 M. Flis D
17 F. Hiszpański M
77 A. Ratajczyk M
18 P. Wlazło M
23 K. Getinger M
11 M. Lebedyński F
32 F. Gerbowski F
99 S. Hamulic F
Bench (7)
7 M. Domański
24 M. Wolski
6 Leândro
15 D. Poręba
1 M. Kochalski
39 M. Wyparło
16 P. Żyra

Coach: A. Majewski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.