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Taça de Portugal

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vilar de Perdizes Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
4,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rebordosa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Alverca 1 1 0 0 +13 3
3 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +10 3
4 Amora 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Oliveira Hospital 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Valadares Gaia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Academica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Nacional 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sandinenses 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Florgrade 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Quarteirense SAD 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Montalegre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Fontinhas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Ribeirão 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Alqueidão da Serra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Castrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 AVS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 União Micaelense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 O Elvas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Tocha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Louletano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Fabril Barreiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Anadia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Sanjoanense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Os Limianos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Varzim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 União Lamas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Paredes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Pêro Pinheiro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Caldas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Peniche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Gondomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Portosantense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
50 CD Torres Novas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Lobão 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Real 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Padernense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 São João Ver 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Penedo Gordo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Trofense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Guadalupe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Imortal Albufeira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Lanheses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Aliados Lordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Foz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Operário 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Flamengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Vila Real 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Os Vilanovenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 União de Coimbra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Torre de Moncorvo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 AD Fornos Algodres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Ponte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Proença-a-Nova 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Amiense 1 0 0 1 -7 0
81 Vitória do Pico 1 0 0 1 -8 0
82 Régua 1 0 0 1 -10 0
83 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vilar de Perdizes Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1–0 P. Costa
21′
2–0 J. Renteria
22′
3–0 P. Costa
25′
4–0 P. Costa
38′
Half-time 5–0
5–0 Andre Mendy
69′
74′
R. Rodeia 5–1
Full-time 5–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.