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Taça de Portugal

Real

S T T S

1–4

Full-time

Academica

S T S T T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Academica

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

75%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Santo Antonio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
92	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
93	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
94	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
47	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Santo Antonio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
44	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
46	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
47	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.