Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: Daniele Perenzoni

Monza

T T S U T

2–1

Full-time

Sassuolo

T S U U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Monza Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,45 xG 1,58

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 18. · Sassuolo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+11	+6.5	12
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.2	12
3	Como	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.0	10
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+3	+2.0	10
5	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.0	9
6	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.3	8
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.2	7
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.6	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-2	-4.8	6
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.3	4
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.6	3
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.9	3
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-3	+0.5	1
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.5	1
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	-5	+2.6	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.5	1
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	-7	-4.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.0	9
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.2	4
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
8	Como	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-4.3	3
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.3	1
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.8	6
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.2	6
5	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.1	5
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.9	4
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
10	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
11	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.9	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.1	3
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.9	1
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
20	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jan -24 Monza – Sassuolo 1–0 2. Oct -23 Sassuolo – Monza 0–1 19. May -23 Sassuolo – Monza 1–2 22. Jan -23 Monza – Sassuolo 1–1

Match report

Monza Sassuolo

E. Kouadio 🟨

30′

Half-time 1–0

1–0 G. Varela ⚽

S. Birindelli

51′

D. Mota 🔁

↦ P. Cutrone

56′

A. Bakoune 🔁

↦ R. Mangas

56′

F. Ondoa 🔁

↦ E. Akinsanmiro

56′

2–0 G. Varela ⚽

63′

64′

🔁 K. Bowie

↦ K. Thorstvedt

64′

🔁 L. Lipani

↦ N. Matic

72′

🔁 B. Dominguez

↦ D. Berardi

72′

🔁 V. Adzic

↦ S. Esposito

M. Folorunsho 🟨

74′

M. Mout 🔁

↦ J. Robinson

82′

🔁 L. Skjellerup

↦ D. Bakola

85′

🟨 L. Lipani

S. Birindelli 🟨

85′

88′

⚽ V. Adzic 2–1

G. Varela 🟨

92′

Y. Maye 🔁

↦ S. Birindelli

93′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Monza

3-4-2-1

Noel Törnqvist G

Eddy Kouadio D

Lorenzo Lucchesi D

Andrea Carboni D

Samuele Birindelli M

Michael Folorunsho M

Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M

Ricardo Mangas M

Patrick Cutrone F

Jay Robinson F

Gustavo Varela F

Bench (14)

43 Aljaz Strajnar

20 Demba Thiam

6 Valentin Antov

2 Saba Goglichidze

24 Adam Bakoune

5 Yvan Maye

80 Mathis Mout

21 Leonardo Colombo

8 Manga Foe Ondoa

11 Omari Forson

22 Exequiel Zeballos

16 Cyril Ngonge

28 Andrea Colpani

47 Dany Mota

Coach: Ivan Juric

Sassuolo

4-3-3

Arijanet Murić G

Simone Cinquegrano D

Fedde Leysen D

Duje Ćaleta-Car D

Josh Doig D

Kristian Thorstvedt M

Nemanja Matić M

Darryl Bakola M

Domenico Berardi F

Sebastiano Esposito F

Armand Laurienté F

Bench (13)

80 Stefano Turati

12 Giacomo Satalino

20 Ignace Van der Brempt

26 Cas Odenthal

17 Vasilije Adžić

8 Andrea Ghion

33 Rafael Obrador

25 Benjamín Domínguez

35 Luca Lipani

55 Ibrahim Sulemana

9 Kieron Bowie

19 Laurs Skjellerup

77 Nicholas Pierini

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,67

🔒

1xBet 2,84 Pinnacle 2,81 Betfair 2,80 Marathonbet 2,79 Betano 2,67 SBO 2,66 BetVictor 2,63 William Hill 2,62 Bet365 2,60

3,35

🔒

BetVictor 3,50 Pinnacle 3,44 1xBet 3,40 Bet365 3,40 Betano 3,35 Marathonbet 3,34 Betfair 3,30 SBO 3,22 William Hill 3,10

2,62

🔒

1xBet 2,72 Marathonbet 2,67 Betano 2,65 Betfair 2,63 Pinnacle 2,62 Bet365 2,60 BetVictor 2,55 SBO 2,54 William Hill 2,50

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,22

🔒

U1,5

4,02

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,77

🔒

U2,5

2,10

🔒

O3,5

2,77

🔒

U3,5 ✓

1,40

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,57

🔒

BLS nei

2,25

🔒

Recent matches

13. Sep SA 1 week ago

6. Sep SA 2 weeks ago

1. Sep CI 3 weeks ago

29. Aug SA 3 weeks ago

22. Aug SA 1 month ago

Referee

Daniele Perenzoni · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,7 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,9 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Monza

Sassuolo

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee