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Referee: Gael Angoula

T S U T T

3–4

Full-time

T S S T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Nancy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rodez 11. · Nancy 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Reims	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Red Star	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Annecy	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Metz	6	2	3	1	+3	9
7	Sochaux	6	2	3	1	-1	9
8	Dunkerque	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Nancy	6	2	1	3	+0	7
11	Rodez	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Grenoble	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Dijon	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Boulogne	6	0	5	1	-1	5
15	Pau FC	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Clermont	6	0	5	1	-2	5
17	Nantes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Laval	6	1	1	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Metz	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Dunkerque	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Sochaux	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Montpellier	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Rodez	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Clermont	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Red Star	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Nancy	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Boulogne	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Laval	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reims	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Red Star	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Annecy	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Grenoble	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Pau FC	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Dijon	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Sochaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Rodez	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Metz	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Boulogne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Guingamp	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Clermont	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Laval	3	0	1	2	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jan -26 Nancy – Rodez 1–3 9. Aug -25 Rodez – Nancy 0–0 19. Apr -22 Rodez – Nancy 1–1 20. Nov -21 Nancy – Rodez 0–2 8. May -21 Rodez – Nancy 1–1

Match report

Rodez Nancy

4′

⚽ Ilyes Housni 0–1

Pape Meissa Ba

0–2 Yannis Nahounou ⚽

own goal

7′

Loni Laurent 🟨

16′

1–2 Raphael Lipinski ⚽

Antonin Cartillier

20′

Half-time 1–3

47′

⚽ Pape Meissa Ba 1–3

Nordine Kandil

51′

⚽ Nehemiah Fernandez 1–4

Nordine Kandil

2–4 Jean Lambert Evan's ⚽

Mathis Touho

59′

Corentin Issanchou Roubiou 🔁

↦ Steven Luyambula Biwa

64′

Kenny Nagera 🔁

↦ Nachon Nsingi

64′

64′

🔁 Zakaria Fdaouch

↦ Nordine Kandil

Mathis Saka 🟨

72′

74′

⚽ Pape Meissa Ba 2–5

Ryan Ponti 🔁

↦ Jean Lambert Evan's

80′

Octave Joly 🔁

↦ Mathis Saka

80′

Damjan Pavlović 🔁

↦ Loni Laurent

80′

86′

🔁 Chafik El Hansar

↦ El Hadari Raheriniaina

86′

🔁 Mamadou Fofana

↦ Pape Meissa Ba

Mathis Magnin 🟨

91′

94′

🔁 Jeremy Gelin

↦ Walid Bouabdeli

Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Rodez

4-4-2

30

E. Crombez G

24

L. Quenabio D

4

M. Magnin D

3

R. Lipinski D

28

S. Luyambula Biwa D

15

E. Jean-Lambert M

6

J. Mendes M

10

M. Saka M

29

Antonin Cartillier M

9

N. Nsingi F

11

M. Touho F

Bench (9)

22 O. Joly

13 C. Roubiou

27 M. Essimi Ateba

16 L. Margueron

7 K. Nagera

21 K. Nsona

8 D. Pavlović

20 R. Ponti

17 L. Vungele Vangi

Coach: D. Santini

Nancy

4-4-2

1

E. Basilio G

44

E. Tacafred D

77

Y. Nahounou D

21

E. Mendy D

4

N. Fernandez-Veliz D

70

N. Kandil M

6

K. Kebe M

8

W. Bouabdelli M

12

El Hadari M

9

I. Housni F

5

P. Meïssa Ba F

Bench (9)

17 Mamadou Fofana II

7 Z. Fdaouch

45 C. El Hansar

10 A. Dabasse

11 I. Cisse

25 J. Gélin

30 G. Lembet

14 N. Saint-Ruf

22 L. Ndenbe

Coach: O. Tanchot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

2,32

🔒

Pinnacle 2,43 Betano 2,40 1xBet 2,35 Marathonbet 2,33 SBO 2,32 Bet365 2,30 Betfair 2,30 BetVictor 2,30 William Hill 2,30

U

3,38

🔒

Betfair 3,50 Pinnacle 3,42 Betano 3,40 BetVictor 3,40 1xBet 3,38 Marathonbet 3,38 William Hill 3,20 SBO 3,16 Bet365 3,10

B ✓

2,88

🔒

Pinnacle 2,98 Betano 2,95 Betfair 2,88 BetVictor 2,88 William Hill 2,88 1xBet 2,87 Marathonbet 2,86 Bet365 2,80 SBO 2,75

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,25

🔒

U1,5

3,75

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,85

🔒

U2,5

1,95

🔒

O3,5 ✓

3,05

🔒

U3,5

1,35

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,62

🔒

BLS nei

2,15

🔒

Recent matches

11. Sep L2 1 week ago

5. Sep L2 2 weeks ago

28. Aug L2 3 weeks ago

22. Aug L2 4 weeks ago

14. Aug L2 1 month ago

Referee

Gael Angoula · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,3 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

21,4 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.