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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Redder
Kolding IF
S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kolding IF Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
7,0
2,3
Scored
6,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+5,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Ishøj 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 FC Helsingor 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 AB Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 B 93 3 2 1 0 +21 7
6 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +22 6
7 Midtjylland 2 2 0 0 +15 6
8 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
9 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
10 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
11 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 Esbjerg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
13 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +6 6
14 Odense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
15 Viby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Lyngby 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Hobro 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Nykobing FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
22 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 HIK 3 2 0 1 -1 6
24 Lyseng 3 2 0 1 -5 6
25 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
26 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +9 3
27 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +8 3
28 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
30 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
31 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
51 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
52 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
53 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
54 Randers FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
58 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
94 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
97 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
100 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
101 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kolding IF Nordsjaelland
21′
🟨 D. Svensson
P. Ngongo 🔁
↦ M. Kristensen
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Beck
46′
46′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ Z. Sertdemir
46′
🔁 L. Hey
↦ O. Villadsen
A. Nørager 🔁
↦ D. Wilkins
46′
48′
B. Nygren 1–1
M. Hansen
I. Taannander 🟨
50′
2–1 I. Tånnander
S. Trier
54′
J. Vetter 🟨
58′
64′
🔁 M. Ingvartsen
↦ C. Harder
C. Kudsk 🔁
↦ C. Palm
65′
C. Vestergaard 🔁
↦ A. Beck
66′
C. Vestergaard 🟨
67′
K. Shushman 🟨
67′
71′
M. Frese 2–2
M. Hansen
73′
🔁 A. Schjelderup
↦ C. Rasmussen
N. Bossen 🔁
↦ I. Tånnander
75′
81′
🟨 B. Nygren
89′
🔁 E. Marxen
↦ J. Jensen-Abbew
T. Mikkelsen 🔁
↦ M. Vestergård
90′
94′
🟨 M. Frese
P. Tjornelund 🟨
95′
115′
🔁 I. Osman
↦ M. Diomandé
3–2 C. Kudsk
121′
122′
M. Ingvartsen
penalty missed
S. Denius
penalty missed
123′
124′
A. Nagalo 3–3
4–3 T. Mikkelsen
125′
126′
B. Nygren 4–4
A. Nørager
penalty missed
127′
128′
A. Schjelderup 4–5
P. Ngongo
penalty missed
129′
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Kolding IF

27 K. Shushman
32 J. Vetter
24 S. Trier
2 P. Tjørnelund
5 D. Wilkins
34 S. Denius
8 M. Vestergård
14 C. Palm
22 I. Tånnander
16 A. Beck
15 M. Kristensen
Bench (9)
7 P. Ngongo
3 A. Nørager
10 C. Kudsk
4 C. Vestergaard
25 N. Bossen
9 T. Mikkelsen
33 J. Sørensen
12 E. Laustsen
30 O. Ali

Coach: K. Wichmann

Nordsjaelland

25 C. Eriksson
5 M. Frese
23 O. Villadsen
27 D. Svensson
39 A. Nagalo
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
10 M. Diomandé
21 Z. Sertdemir
9 B. Nygren
17 C. Rasmussen
40 C. Harder
Bench (9)
19 L. Hey
11 M. Hansen
7 M. Ingvartsen
8 A. Schjelderup
15 E. Marxen
14 I. Osman
42 K. Barslund
13 A. Hansen
29 M. Dorgeles

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.