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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Kotwica Kołobrzeg

4–4

Full-time

Nieciecza

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kotwica Kołobrzeg Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Garbarnia Kraków	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Stal Brzeg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Carina Gubin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Legia Warszawa II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Stal Brzeg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Carina Gubin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Legia Warszawa II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kotwica Kołobrzeg Nieciecza

8′

⚽ A. Radwański 0–1

J. Soljic 🟨

28′

A. Stasiak 🟨

37′

38′

🟨 A. Radwanski

1–1 Jonathan ⚽

41′

2–1 J. Šoljić ⚽

45′

Half-time 2–1

S. Murawski 🔁

↦ M. Skowronek

46′

50′

⚽ A. Trubeha 2–2

51′

🟨 A. Trubeha

53′

🟨 A. Putivtsev

O. Nowak 🔁

↦ A. Stasiak

56′

M. Kozajda 🟨

60′

M. Koziol 🟨

61′

⚽ T. Poznar 2–3

65′

🔁 W. Biedrzycki

↦ B. Wacławek

F. Kozłowski 🔁

↦ T. Kaczmarek

67′

3–3 F. Kozłowski ⚽

69′

71′

🔁 E. Bahonko

↦ A. Morag

79′

🟨 W. Biedrzycki

Jonathan Junior 🟨

84′

85′

🔁 T. Płaneta

↦ W. Jakubik

J. Rzeźniczak 🔁

↦ J. Šoljić

89′

Z. Abbott 🔁

↦ Jonathan

89′

95′

⚽ W. Biedrzycki 3–4

96′

🟨 T. Planeta

113′

🟨 M. Wolski

4–4 O. Nowak ⚽

114′

F. Oliveira 🟨

121′

Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Kotwica Kołobrzeg

M. Kozioł

J. Šoljić

Ł. Kosakiewicz

C. Polak

M. Skowronek

M. Kozajda

Filipe Oliveira

M. Cywiński

A. Stasiak

Jonathan

T. Kaczmarek

Bench (9)

S. Murawski

O. Nowak

F. Kozłowski

J. Rzeźniczak

Z. Abbott

K. Michalski

O. Pogorzelec

P. Pytlewski

T. Madembo

Coach: M. Bartoszek

Nieciecza

E. Topór

A. Putivtsev

B. Wacławek

B. Farbiszewski

A. Morag

A. Radwański

M. Wolski

J. Nowakowski

W. Jakubik

T. Poznar

A. Trubeha

Bench (6)

W. Biedrzycki

E. Bahonko

T. Płaneta

K. Bartoszek

K. Leżoń

J. Różycki

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Aug CUP 3 years ago

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,4 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Kotwica Kołobrzeg

Nieciecza

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee