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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Svendsen

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 OKS 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Morud/Veflinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Herlev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
49 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
50 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
51 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
52 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sønderborg Fremad B 1913
14′
U. Beriev 0–1
18′
R. Rebold 1–1
own goal
33′
N. Stokholm 1–2
2–2 R. Fazliu
45′
Half-time 2–2
R. Mohammad 🔁
↦ O. Strussmann
46′
46′
🔁 M. Sørensen
↦ M. Sørensen
46′
🔁 A. Smaakjær
↦ T. Holt
46′
🔁 M. Seest
↦ C. Stryhn
R. Roth 🔁
↦ R. Fazliu
59′
B. Lindekrans 🔁
↦ M. Ahmadi
59′
59′
N. Stokholm 2–3
63′
🔁 V. Larsen
↦ N. Stokholm
66′
M. Sørensen 2–4
71′
M. Sørensen 2–5
A. Roager 🔁
↦ R. Rebold
73′
S. Blankschøn 🔁
↦ T. Chor
73′
83′
V. Larsen 2–6
Full-time 2–6

Line-ups

Sønderborg Fremad

82 R. Rebold
35 N. Andersen
89 S. Bengtson
96 O. Strussmann
67 M. Spornberger
80 H. Khan
27 T. Chor
14 R. Fazliu
1 S. Nielsen
31 D. Høi
85 M. Ahmadi
Bench (9)
6 R. Mohammad
8 R. Roth
5 B. Lindekrans
9 A. Roager
13 S. Blankschøn
4 E. Petersen
74 L. Boes-Weber
70 P. Moseler
19 M. Reinecker

Coach: M. Petersen

B 1913

4 C. Stryhn
16 D. Easter
6 T. Skræp
18 T. Holt
7 N. Stokholm
20 U. Beriev
11 M. Sørensen
27 B. Aarenstrup
15 M. Lauritzen
12 K. Mikkelsen
28 P. Rasmussen
Bench (4)
9 M. Sørensen
90 A. Smaakjær
3 M. Seest
19 V. Larsen

Coach: F. Rust Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.