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Conference League
Referee: D Sakhi
Hacken
T U S S S
6–1
Full-time
Paide
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hacken Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
5,7
2,3
Scored
3,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
7,5
3,0
Scored
6,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+4,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Hacken Paide
1–0 R. Amané ⚽
5′
2–0 R. Amané ⚽
6′
32′
⚽ A. Ceesay 2–1
3–1 A. Layouni ⚽
35′
Half-time 3–1
J. Lindberg 🔁
↦ S. Gustafson
46′
46′
🔁 O. Hõim
↦ P. Medić
60′
🟨 Abdoulie Ceesay
62′
🔁 M. Suso
↦ A. Ceesay
4–1 Z. Inoussa ⚽
64′
Srdjan Hrstić 🟨
70′
J. Agbonifo 🔁
↦ S. Hrstić
71′
71′
🔁 D. Jepihhin
↦ D. Luts
J. Laursen 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
76′
79′
🔁 Mouhamed Guèye I
↦ P. Kristal
79′
🔁 S. Luts
↦ R. Saarma
5–1 J. Agbonifo ⚽
89′
6–1 A. Layouni ⚽
91′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Hacken

4-3-3
26 P. Abrahamsson G
6 A. Lindahl D
3 J. Hammar D
4 M. Lode D
21 A. Lundkvist D
18 M. Rygaard M
14 S. Gustafson M
27 R. Amané M
24 A. Layouni F
19 S. Hrstić F
29 Z. Inoussa F
Bench (11)
11 J. Lindberg
23 J. Agbonifo
7 J. Laursen
16 P. Dahbo
34 S. Nioule
5 E. Hovland
30 S. Banožić
33 J. Dembe
35 S. Jansson
1 A. Linde
20 F. Trpcevski

Coach: P. Johansen

Paide

3-4-3
99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
27 N. Baranov D
29 J. Saliste D
6 P. Kristal M
23 M. Delević D
16 P. Medić M
14 R. Saarma F
41 D. Luts M
20 A. Ceesay F
8 Henrik Ojamaa M
Bench (12)
28 O. Hõim
24 M. Suso
17 D. Jepihhin
25 Mouhamed Guèye I
19 S. Luts
1 M. Aksalu
9 K. Piht
15 Hindrek Ojamaa
5 G. Juhkam
10 A. Frolov
11 M. Gomis
56 M. Sapp

Coach: I. Stojković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.