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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Rasmussen

Vatanspor

S T

0–2

Full-time

Aarhus Fremad

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vatanspor Aarhus Fremad

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

5,0

5,2

Scored

1,0

3,2

Conceded

4,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	Holstebro	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Esbjerg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Frem	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Gørslev	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Avarta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	NB Bornholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Morud/Veflinge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	B 93	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Kolding B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Middelfart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
66	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
67	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
68	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
69	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
70	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gørslev	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	NB Bornholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Morud/Veflinge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Kolding B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Middelfart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
24	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
27	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
28	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
30	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
31	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
32	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
33	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
34	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
35	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	Holstebro	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Esbjerg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Frem	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Avarta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	B 93	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vatanspor Aarhus Fremad

27′

⚽ G. Callø 0–1

35′

⚽ W. Stage 0–2

Half-time 0–2

A. Barabas 🔁

↦ A. Mohamed

46′

🔁 G. Papian

↦ G. Junge

46′

🔁 S. Denius

↦ F. Grube

58′

🔁 M. Berthelsen

↦ T. Hoffmeyer Beck

58′

🔁 Álex Tierno

↦ A. Holvad

M. Abdalkader 🔁

↦ S. Nasir

65′

A. Said 🔁

↦ T. Gaita

80′

82′

🔁 S. Bækgård

↦ Magnus Kirchheiner

B. Becker 🔁

↦ A. Al Badri

87′

M. Kartam 🔁

↦ E. Alici

87′

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vatanspor

21 S. Nasir

6 A. Al Badri

9 A. Ayhan

7 I. Deveci

17 A. Mohamed

23 L. Gaita

13 C. Dursun

3 S. Genc

10 E. Alici

8 A. Cumar

19 T. Gaita

Bench (6)

5 A. Barabas

12 M. Abdalkader

30 A. Said

18 B. Becker

20 M. Kartam

1 A. Naz

Coach: H. Kara

Aarhus Fremad

30 C. Andersen

19 L. Wagner

18 W. Stage

23 T. Hoffmeyer Beck

15 J. Torp

27 Magnus Kirchheiner

8 F. Grube

10 E. Hauge

20 G. Callø

12 G. Junge

16 A. Holvad

Bench (9)

22 G. Papian

34 S. Denius

9 M. Berthelsen

29 Álex Tierno

6 S. Bækgård

1 B. Pená

2 A. Klein

25 D. Amundala

3 N. Sejrup

Coach: M. Dahm Kjærgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

1. Sep POK 4 years ago

2. Aug POK 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Vatanspor

Aarhus Fremad

Odds comparison

Recent matches