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Conference League
Referee: D Dmitriev
Paks
T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Mornar
S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paks Mornar
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2

Match report

Paks Mornar
-5′
🟨 Darko Zorić
Dániel Böde ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
8′
39′
ℹ️ Chris Marlon Ondong Mba
VAR: Card upgrade
40′
🟥 Chris Marlon Ondong Mba
Half-time 0–0
B. Szabó 🔁
↦ B. Vécsei
46′
1–0 D. Böde ⚽
59′
60′
🟨 Marko Đurišić
61′
🟨 Marko Đurišić
61′
🟥 Marko Đurišić
64′
🟨 Andrija Kaluđerović
66′
🔁 E. Seratlić
↦ B. Vukotić
S. Mezei 🔁
↦ K. Papp
67′
67′
🔁 N. Vuković
↦ K. Kishi
D. Zimonyi 🔁
↦ J. Windecker
73′
B. Tóth 🔁
↦ D. Böde
73′
B. Kocsis 🔁
↦ Z. Haraszti
82′
85′
🔁 M. Ćetković
↦ D. Zorić
92′
🟨 Stefan Popović
93′
🔁 V. Trifunović
↦ M. Vušurović
Bence Ötvös ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
2–0 B. Szabó ⚽
98′
3–0 B. Tóth 0 ⚽
100′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paks

3-5-2
1 P. Szappanos G
23 B. Ötvös D
2 Á. Kinyik D
12 G. Vas D
11 A. Osváth M
22 J. Windecker M
5 B. Vécsei M
21 K. Papp M
30 J. Szabó M
10 Z. Haraszti F
13 D. Böde F
Bench (12)
27 B. Szabó
26 S. Mezei
15 D. Zimonyi
29 B. Tóth
17 B. Kocsis
20 K. Kovács
19 K. Horváth
25 B. Simon
77 Z. Gévay
24 B. Lenzsér
8 B. Balogh
14 E. Silye

Coach: G. Bognár

Mornar

4-3-3
12 S. Popović G
2 S. Stevanović D
32 V. Ljutica D
16 F. Mitrović D
33 B. Vukotić D
18 D. Zorić M
4 A. Kaluđerović M
8 M. Đurišić M
10 K. Kishi F
55 C. Ondong Mba F
20 M. Vušurović F
Bench (8)
97 E. Seratlić
17 N. Vuković
7 M. Ćetković
80 V. Trifunović
9 A. Vujačić
1 Đ. Pavličić
94 L. Perović
11 A. Kolundžić

Coach: Z. Đurašković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.