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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al Hakim
Sirius
U S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Norrkoping
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
2,7
3,7
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+3,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 13. · Norrkoping 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 4 4 0 0 +14 12
2 Malmo FF 4 3 1 0 +12 10
3 Brommapojkarna 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Halmstad 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 AIK 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Oster 4 3 0 1 +7 9
7 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Goteborg 4 3 0 1 +1 9
10 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Degerfors 4 2 2 0 +8 8
12 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +10 7
13 Sirius 3 2 1 0 +8 7
14 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Elfsborg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
16 GAIS 4 2 1 1 +2 7
17 Varberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
18 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
19 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
20 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +3 6
21 Hammarby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Vasteras SK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
24 United Nordic 5 2 0 3 -1 6
25 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
26 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -5 6
27 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 IFK Luleå 5 1 1 3 -16 4
29 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
30 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
31 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
32 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
40 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 IK brage 3 0 3 0 +0 3
45 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sundsvall 3 1 0 2 -1 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Gefle IF 4 1 0 3 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -4 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Norrkoping
16′
🟨 T. Sandberg
30′
⚽ C. Nyman 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Persson ⚽
49′
N. Milleskog 🔁
↦ M. Martin
66′
André Al Sanati 🔁
↦ M. Lindberg
79′
79′
🔁 Í. Sigurgeirsson
↦ C. Björk
79′
🔁 I. Ssewankambo
↦ D. Salihović
79′
🔁 S. Bolma
↦ V. Hammershøy-Mistrati
A. Ljungberg 🔁
↦ M. Jeng
82′
A. Murbeck 🔁
↦ A. Wikman
82′
82′
⚽ Í. Sigurgeirsson 1–2
2–2 Y. Salech ⚽
85′
90′
🔁 A. Sögaard
↦ L. Shabani
90′
🔁 M. Baggesen
↦ Y. Kalley
91′
🟨 D. Eid
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sirius

D. Mitov Nilsson
D. Widgren
H. Castegren
J. Voelkerling Persson
M. Jeng
M. Martin
M. Heier
A. Wikman
M. Lindberg
J. Persson
Y. Salech
Bench (9)
N. Milleskog
André Al Sanati
A. Ljungberg
A. Murbeck
D. Celic
E. Özkan
F. Olsson
H. Andersson Mella
J. Tånnander

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Norrkoping

O. Jansson
M. Watson
D. Eid
A. Eriksson
D. Salihović
Y. Kalley
V. Hammershøy-Mistrati
T. Sandberg
C. Nyman
C. Björk
L. Shabani
Bench (9)
Í. Sigurgeirsson
I. Ssewankambo
S. Bolma
A. Sögaard
M. Baggesen
D. Andersson
F. Hellichius
L. Jonsson
N. Sernelius

Coach: A. Alm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.