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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Djurgarden

T S S U S

2–4

Full-time

Sirius

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 45%

54%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

43%

64%

Both score Ø 49%

43%

54%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,81 xG 1,75

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Djurgarden 4. · Sirius 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	28	20	3	5	+34	+5.0	63
2	Malmo FF	28	19	4	5	+36	+10.3	61
3	Hacken	28	17	3	8	+29	+7.9	54
4	Djurgarden	28	15	5	8	+8	+2.5	50
5	Varnamo	29	14	3	12	+5	+0.8	45
6	Hammarby	29	11	10	8	+2	+1.3	43
7	Kalmar	28	12	6	10	-3	-4.9	42
8	Norrkoping	28	11	5	12	+1	+2.3	38
9	Mjallby	28	11	5	12	-2	-1.9	38
10	Sirius	28	10	6	12	+3	+7.9	36
11	AIK	28	8	8	12	-6	-0.0	32
12	Halmstad	28	8	8	12	-17	-5.8	32
13	Goteborg	28	7	9	12	-5	-0.3	30
14	Brommapojkarna	28	8	3	17	-15	-3.2	27
15	Degerfors	28	7	4	17	-31	-10.2	25
16	Varberg	28	3	6	19	-39	-11.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	14	13	0	1	+29	+4.8	39
2	Malmo FF	14	10	3	1	+26	+4.0	33
3	Elfsborg	14	10	2	2	+20	+1.1	32
4	Djurgarden	14	10	2	2	+12	+4.9	32
5	Hammarby	14	8	4	2	+8	+0.3	28
6	Kalmar	14	7	3	4	-1	-2.7	24
7	AIK	14	5	6	3	+5	+4.7	21
8	Norrkoping	14	6	2	6	+1	-0.8	20
9	Varnamo	15	6	2	7	+0	+1.9	20
10	Sirius	14	6	1	7	+6	+8.3	19
11	Goteborg	14	5	3	6	+6	+0.7	18
12	Degerfors	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.4	17
13	Halmstad	14	4	5	5	-6	-3.1	17
14	Mjallby	14	4	3	7	-3	-4.1	15
15	Brommapojkarna	14	4	2	8	-6	-0.0	14
16	Varberg	14	1	4	9	-19	-2.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	14	10	1	3	+14	+4.0	31
2	Malmo FF	14	9	1	4	+10	+6.2	28
3	Varnamo	14	8	1	5	+5	-1.1	25
4	Mjallby	14	7	2	5	+1	+2.2	23
5	Norrkoping	14	5	3	6	+0	+3.1	18
6	Kalmar	14	5	3	6	-2	-2.1	18
7	Djurgarden	14	5	3	6	-4	-2.4	18
8	Sirius	14	4	5	5	-3	-0.4	17
9	Hacken	14	4	3	7	+0	+3.1	15
10	Hammarby	15	3	6	6	-6	+1.0	15
11	Halmstad	14	4	3	7	-11	-2.7	15
12	Brommapojkarna	14	4	1	9	-9	-3.2	13
13	Goteborg	14	2	6	6	-11	-1.0	12
14	AIK	14	3	2	9	-11	-4.8	11
15	Varberg	14	2	2	10	-20	-9.7	8
16	Degerfors	14	2	2	10	-26	-7.8	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.