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Puchar Polski

Referee: B Frankowski

Lech Poznan

T U S S U

0–1

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 6. · Pogon Szczecin 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Widzew Lodz	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Korona Kielce	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Arka Gdynia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Stal Mielec	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Carina Gubin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Wisła Puławy	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Stal Rzeszów	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Garbarnia Kraków	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Polonia Warszawa	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Legia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Polonia Bytom	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Stal Brzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Legia Warszawa II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Tychy 71	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Nieciecza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Carina Gubin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Wisła Puławy	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stal Brzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Legia Warszawa II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Garbarnia Kraków	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Tychy 71	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Polonia Bytom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	LKS Lodz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Piast Gliwice	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Stal Mielec	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Korona Kielce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Legia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Polonia Warszawa	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.