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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Pogon Szczecin

T T S S T

5–0

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 54%

44%

63%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

44%

75%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,00 xG 0,25

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 9. · Lech Poznan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	10	7	1	2	+8	+1.1	22
2	Legia	8	6	2	0	+11	+0.7	20
3	Rakow	9	6	1	2	+9	+5.7	19
4	Lech Poznan	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.8	17
5	Jagiellonia	8	5	1	2	+5	+3.8	16
6	Zaglebie	9	5	1	3	+0	+1.0	16
7	Cracovia	9	3	4	2	-2	+0.2	13
8	Stal Mielec	10	3	3	4	+1	-3.3	12
9	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	0	5	+1	+4.2	12
10	Piast Gliwice	10	2	6	2	+0	+9.4	12
11	Widzew Lodz	10	3	2	5	-3	-4.0	11
12	Radomiak Radom	10	3	2	5	-4	-0.2	11
13	Warta Poznan	10	2	3	5	-2	+0.9	9
14	Korona Kielce	9	2	3	4	-2	-3.5	9
15	Gornik Zabrze	9	2	3	4	-6	-7.1	9
16	Puszcza	10	2	3	5	-7	-6.6	9
17	Ruch Chorzow	10	1	4	5	-6	-3.1	7
18	LKS Lodz	10	2	1	7	-10	–	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+11	+5.1	16
2	Legia	5	5	0	0	+10	+2.7	15
3	Zaglebie	5	4	1	0	+4	+1.5	13
4	Jagiellonia	4	4	0	0	+8	+5.7	12
5	Stal Mielec	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.3	11
6	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+6	+3.2	10
7	Slask Wroclaw	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.6	9
8	Widzew Lodz	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.2	9
9	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+1	+7.5	8
10	Puszcza	5	2	2	1	+0	-0.6	8
11	LKS Lodz	5	2	1	2	-2	–	7
12	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	0	3	-2	+5.8	6
13	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.1	5
14	Radomiak Radom	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.1	5
15	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.5	5
16	Warta Poznan	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.7	5
17	Cracovia	4	1	2	1	-3	-0.6	5
18	Ruch Chorzow	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	1	1	+5	-0.5	13
2	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
4	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+3	-1.6	6
5	Radomiak Radom	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.3	6
6	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.9	5
7	Warta Poznan	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.1	4
8	Piast Gliwice	5	0	4	1	-1	+1.9	4
9	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.5	4
10	Jagiellonia	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.9	4
11	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.6	4
12	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.6	3
13	Zaglebie	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.6	3
14	Ruch Chorzow	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.3	3
15	Widzew Lodz	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.2	2
16	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1
17	Puszcza	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.1	1
18	LKS Lodz	5	0	0	5	-8	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.