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Puchar Polski
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
3–2
Full-time
Wisla
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Polonia Warszawa Wisla
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 90%
80%
100%
Average goals
4,2
5,3
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Puchar Polski · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Polonia Warszawa 7. · Wisla 26.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Puszcza 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Ruch Chorzow 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 LKS Lodz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 2 0 1 -1 6
10 Piast Gliwice 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Hutnik Kraków 2 1 1 0 +3 4
12 Slask Wroclaw 2 1 1 0 +3 4
13 Zaglebie 2 1 1 0 +3 4
14 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Lechia Zielona Góra 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Polonia Bytom 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Korona Kielce 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Podbeskidzie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Unia Skierniewice 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Lech Poznań II 3 1 1 1 +0 4
22 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +4 3
23 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Wigry Suwałki 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Resovia Rzeszów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Kluczbork 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Motor Lublin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Rakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Barycz Sułów 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2 0 1 1 -1 1
42 Avia Świdnik 2 0 1 1 -2 1
43 Arka Gdynia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
44 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Unia Swarzędz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Gornik Zabrze 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Podhale Nowy Targ 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Grom Nowy Staw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Star Starachowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Polonia Warszawa Wisla
6′
Frederico Duarte 0–1
M. Kolodziejski 🟨
16′
39′
Frederico Duarte 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Ł. Zjawiński 🔁
↦ S. Kobusiński
46′
1–2 İ. Durmuş
55′
2–2 İ. Durmuş
56′
59′
🔁 Marc Carbó
↦ K. Duda
59′
🔁 T. Kiss
↦ Jesús Alfaro
59′
🔁 Ł. Zwoliński
↦ P. Gogół
K. Kotoń 🔁
↦ M. Bajdur
63′
68′
🟨 I. Lasicki
69′
🔁 R. Mikulec
↦ G. Kiakós
Dani Vega 🔁
↦ M. Predenkiewicz
79′
81′
🟨 R. Mikulec
K. Koton 🟨
83′
O. Wojciechowski 🔁
↦ Xabi Auzmendi
90′
P. Olszewski 🟨
92′
94′
🔁 Ángel Rodado
↦ O. Sukiennicki
101′
🟨 J. Igbekeme
E. Hoxhallari 🔁
↦ P. Olszewski
106′
B. Poczobut 🟨
107′
3–2 B. Poczobut
108′
M. Kuchta 🟨
116′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Polonia Warszawa

M. Kuchta
M. Kołodziejski
M. Grudniewski
P. Olszewski
İ. Durmuş
M. Bajdur
B. Poczobut
Xabi Auzmendi
E. Terpiłowski
M. Predenkiewicz
S. Kobusiński
Bench (9)
Ł. Zjawiński
K. Kotoń
Dani Vega
O. Wojciechowski
E. Hoxhallari
P. Szur
A. Grzelczak
J. Lemanowicz
N. Vasin

Coach: M. Pawlak

Wisla

A. Chichkan
I. Łasicki
G. Kiakós
D. Szot
M. Kutwa
Jesús Alfaro
J. Igbekeme
Frederico Duarte
P. Gogół
O. Sukiennicki
K. Duda
Bench (9)
Marc Carbó
T. Kiss
Ł. Zwoliński
R. Mikulec
Ángel Rodado
A. Uryga
Ángel Baena
B. Jaroch
K. Broda

Coach: M. Jop

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.