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Copa del Rey
Referee: Adrián Cordero
0–7
Full-time
Celta
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salamanca UDS Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
6,0
Scored
1,0
5,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Salamanca UDS 50. · Celta 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Elche 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
5 Betis 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Ejea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
59 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
72 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salamanca UDS Celta
5′
W. Swedberg 0–1
33′
🟨 W. Swedberg
36′
Hugo Sotelo 0–2
43′
Pablo Durán 0–3
Alfon González
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 Sergio Carreira
↦ W. Swedberg
46′
🔁 T. Allende
↦ Javi Rodríguez
Curro 🟨
51′
56′
🟨 F. Cervi
Jesús Ares 🔁
↦ Álex Caramelo
57′
63′
🔁 L. de la Torre
↦ Hugo Sotelo
63′
🔁 Fer López
↦ Pablo Durán
65′
T. Allende 0–4
Alfon González
G. Carmona 🔁
↦ Javier Murúa
68′
Diego Benito 🔁
↦ Curro Muñoz
69′
M. Galván 🔁
↦ Álvaro González
69′
69′
Carlos Domínguez 0–5
M. Ristić
70′
🔁 Yoel Lago
↦ J. Aidoo
Óscar Lorenzo 🔁
↦ S. Emaná
76′
78′
Fer López 0–6
D. Benito 🟨
83′
89′
Fer López 0–7
L. de la Torre
Full-time 0–7

Line-ups

Salamanca UDS

1 Jon Villanueva
4 Iván Casado
5 Javier Murúa
3 S. Gassama
6 Carlos Cristeto
8 Antonio Amaro
15 Curro Muñoz
18 S. Emaná
22 J. Victoria
20 Álex Caramelo
7 Álvaro González
Bench (11)
17 Jesús Ares
14 G. Carmona
10 Diego Benito
11 M. Galván
21 Óscar Lorenzo
2 Yago Rodríguez
19 Javi Navas
23 Ian Olivera
9 Maikel Villajos
13 Eric Ruiz
28 Asier Domínguez

Coach: J. Chiapas

Celta

1 Iván Villar
21 M. Ristić
15 J. Aidoo
24 Carlos Domínguez
32 Javi Rodríguez
11 F. Cervi
8 Fran Beltrán
19 W. Swedberg
33 Hugo Sotelo
12 Alfon González
18 Pablo Durán
Bench (11)
5 Sergio Carreira
23 T. Allende
14 L. de la Torre
28 Fer López
29 Yoel Lago
9 T. Douvikas
25 Damián Rodríguez
3 Óscar Mingueza
10 Iago Aspas
13 Vicente Guaita
2 C. Starfelt

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.