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Copa del Rey

Referee: Alejandro Quintero

Real Ávila

2–4

Full-time

Valladolid

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Ávila Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Real Ávila 67. · Valladolid 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Betis	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Estepona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Ejea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Real Ávila	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
70	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
71	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
72	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Estepona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ejea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Real Ávila	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
21	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
22	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
58	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Betis	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Ávila Valladolid

15′

⚽ Juanmi Latasa 0–1

David Torres

F. Sisse 🟨

16′

I. Doumbia 🟨

24′

M. de la Fuente 🟨

31′

Half-time 0–1

Vitolo 🔁

↦ Fer Díaz

46′

Adri Carrión 🔁

↦ Filipe Sissé

46′

1–1 Adri Carrión ⚽

Alberto Martín

49′

J. Campos 🟨

51′

52′

🟨 L. Rosa

2–1 Adri Carrión ⚽

54′

56′

🔁 E. Cömert

↦ Javi Sánchez

56′

🔁 A. Ndiaye

↦ D. Machís

66′

🟨 J. Latasa

67′

🔁 Kike Pérez

↦ Víctor Meseguer

67′

🔁 Marcos André

↦ Mario Martín

67′

🔁 Luis Pérez

↦ Lucas Rosa

73′

⚽ Marcos André 2–2

76′

🟨 A. Ndiaye

César Llopis 🔁

↦ I. Doumbia

80′

Adilson 🔁

↦ Álex Moreno

81′

90′

🔁 Iván Sánchez

↦ A. Tuhami

Pedro Luz 🔁

↦ Jorge Campos

93′

C. Pascual 🟨

98′

D. Ochoa 🔁

↦ Carlos Pascual

99′

111′

⚽ Marcos André 2–3

Juanmi Latasa

Safrai 🟨

117′

119′

⚽ Kike Pérez 2–4

A. Ndiaye

Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Real Ávila

1 Álvaro de Pablo

5 Carlos Pascual

2 I. Doumbia

19 Alpha

14 Alberto Martín

22 Fer Díaz

8 Filipe Sissé

21 Álex Moreno

9 Mario Rivas

7 Jorge Campos

11 Toper

Bench (10)

23 Vitolo

20 Adri Carrión

15 César Llopis

6 Adilson

27 Pedro Luz

17 D. Ochoa

18 Ayoub

24 Caio Lopes

12 Cássio Júnior

13 Ñete

Coach: Miguel de la Fuente

Valladolid

André Ferreira

Javi Sánchez

Lucas Rosa

David Torres

30 Raúl Chasco

16 César de la Hoz

A. Tuhami

Víctor Meseguer

Mario Martín

18 D. Machís

Juanmi Latasa

Bench (11)

15 E. Cömert

19 A. Ndiaye

8 Kike Pérez

9 Marcos André

2 Luis Pérez

10 Iván Sánchez

35 J. Bah

7 M. Sylla

28 Chuky

13 K. Hein

20 S. Jurić

Coach: Álvaro Rubio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Oct CDR 1 year ago

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,9 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

28,8 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Real Ávila

Valladolid

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee