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Puchar Polski
Podhale Nowy Targ
T S
3–1
Full-time
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Podhale Nowy Targ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Górnik Łęczna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Podhale Nowy Targ 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Podhale Nowy Targ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
9′
⚽ A. Oshafi 0–1
1–1 K. Talar ⚽
26′
Half-time 1–1
R. Pecarka 🟨
46′
2–1 P. Vosko ⚽
50′
3–1 M. Surzyn ⚽
54′
B. Mikolajczyk 🟨
59′
61′
🟨 H. Uzoigwe
61′
🔁 N. Niski
↦ J. Zbrog
61′
🔁 D. Jaron
↦ B. Dembek
L. Seweryn 🔁
↦ K. Talar
63′
A. Brod 🔁
↦ A. Nowak
63′
T. Kubik 🔁
↦ M. Surzyn
63′
67′
🟨 K. Kargulewicz
73′
🔁 J. Niewiadomski
↦ K. Kargulewicz
73′
🔁 M. Ruszkiewicz
↦ J. Jedrasik
Marcinho 🔁
↦ S. Sobczak
74′
N. Gozdecki 🔁
↦ D. Koltanski
82′
84′
🔁 G. Gulczynski
↦ H. Turski
M. Lipien 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Podhale Nowy Targ

1 M. Styrczula
18 R. Pecarka
21 P. Vosko
4 R. Sewerys
42 M. Lipien
23 B. Mikolajczyk
10 A. Nowak
71 K. Talar
77 D. Koltanski
17 M. Surzyn
14 S. Sobczak
Bench (9)
33 D. Fratczak
20 A. Lukasz
7 L. Seweryn
28 A. Brod
56 F. Baniowski
11 T. Kubik
29 Marcinho
22 R. Rachwal
41 N. Gozdecki

Coach: Tomasz Kuzma

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

12 M. Glacel
16 O. Koprowski
3 B. Dembek
2 K. Glogowski
24 J. Zbrog
11 K. Kargulewicz
14 H. Uzoigwe
21 K. Los
7 J. Jedrasik
20 A. Oshafi
19 H. Turski
Bench (9)
1 K. Kaminski
17 J. Niewiadomski
8 G. Gulczynski
27 J. Konstantyn
4 M. Ruszkiewicz
5 M. Dias
68 J. Miazgowski
15 N. Niski
10 D. Jaron

Coach: Tomasz Kafarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.