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Puchar Polski
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Górnik Łęczna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kluczevia Stargard Pogoń Siedlce
R. Obst 🟨
6′
43′
🟨 S. Kobusinski
M. Gawron 🟨
45′
1–0 R. da Silva de Melo
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Rosolek
↦ N. Zielonka
46′
🔁 C. Demianiuk
↦ R. Makowski
52′
E. Dzieciol 1–1
D. Yefimenko 🔁
↦ A. Stasiak
64′
M. Kaczorek 🔁
↦ R. Obst
64′
64′
🔁 D. Szuprytowski
↦ S. Kobusinski
M. Gawron 🟨
70′
M. Gawron 🟥
70′
2–1 D. Yefimenko
74′
76′
🟨 D. Jakubik
P. Baranowski 🔁
↦ F. Balcewicz
78′
F. Pach 🔁
↦ K. Pietrzyk
78′
83′
🟨 S. Szczytniewski
83′
🔁 K. Mis
↦ D. Jakubik
83′
🔁 P. Klimek
↦ M. Marzec
B. Jesionowski 🔁
↦ M. Bak
90′
90′
S. Szczytniewski 2–2
91′
🔁 L. Trepka
↦ S. Szczytniewski
120′
F. Kendzia 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kluczevia Stargard

1 P. Matloka
55 F. Balcewicz
14 H. Sadowski
3 Miguel Alcantara
32 R. Obst
47 J. Duda
25 M. Bak
8 M. Gawron
99 K. Pietrzyk
77 R. da Silva de Melo
10 A. Stasiak
Bench (9)
S. Brodzinski
P. Baranowski
F. Pach
M. Kwiecien
K. Wozniak
F. Bartkowiak
D. Yefimenko
M. Kaczorek
B. Jesionowski

Pogoń Siedlce

1 J. Tomkiel
6 M. Kizyma
10 R. Makowski
14 D. Jakubik
16 B. Poczobut
17 M. Marzec
21 S. Kobusinski
26 F. Kendzia
31 E. Dzieciol
72 S. Szczytniewski
95 N. Zielonka
Bench (8)
57 J. Lemanowicz
2 K. Mis
7 D. Szuprytowski
9 M. Rosolek
22 P. Klimek
29 L. Trepka
47 B. Swierczewski
56 C. Demianiuk

Coach: Adam Nocon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.