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Puchar Polski
3–2
Full-time
Zaglebie
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Górnik Łęczna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Zaglebie
0–1 M. Urbanski
own goal
6′
9′
🟨 C. Popielec
P. Czerech 🟨
12′
F. Zaczek 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Michalski
↦ S. Karasinski
46′
🔁 J. Kolan
↦ F. Kocaba
46′
🔁 K. Nowogonski
↦ S. Lyczko
46′
🔁 M. Mlinaric
↦ C. Popielec
1–1 P. Peciak
47′
54′
🟨 M. Dziewiatowski
B. Waclawek 🟨
62′
T. Pytlak 🟨
65′
S. Majewski 🔁
↦ K. Czapla
65′
A. Kromka 🔁
↦ S. Kaliniec
65′
65′
D. Michalski 1–2
71′
🔁 A. Wozniak
↦ M. Urbanski
75′
🟨 D. Michalski
2–2 A. Kromka
77′
F. Podkowa 🔁
↦ B. Bis
88′
90′
A. Wozniak 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

31 T. Pytlak
98 K. Misztal
2 K. Jozefiak
45 P. Czerech
3 F. Zaczek
88 S. Kaliniec
99 B. Bis
8 A. Kasia
21 K. Czapla
81 P. Peciak
13 B. Waclawek
Bench (9)
30 J. Ziobron
5 F. Podkowa
7 S. Majewski
9 A. Kromka
15 F. Kmieckowiak
16 D. Buras
17 B. Skrok
19 O. Zawadzki
93 M. Nowara

Zaglebie

1 J. Buric
31 I. Orlikowski
94 M. Urbanski
3 R. Yakuba
38 S. Karasinski
39 F. Kocaba
20 M. Dziewiatowski
19 S. Lyczko
99 C. Popielec
7 J. Sypek
18 F. Szymczak
Bench (9)
30 D. Hladun
4 D. Michalski
6 D. Colina
11 A. Wozniak
26 J. Kolan
71 K. Nowogonski
9 P. Kosmalski
84 J. Ligocki
88 M. Mlinaric

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.