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Süper Lig

Referee: K Saglam

Kayserispor

U U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Kocaelispor

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 20%

10%

30%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 48%

55%

40%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,18 xG 1,01

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

11 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Kocaelispor 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	21	16	4	1	+36	+24.6	52
2	Fenerbahce	20	13	7	0	+28	+24.4	46
3	Trabzonspor	21	13	6	2	+18	+5.1	45
4	Goztep	21	11	7	3	+15	+1.6	40
5	Besiktas	21	10	7	4	+10	+20.3	37
6	Buyuksehyr	21	9	6	6	+14	+5.2	33
7	Samsunspor	21	7	9	5	+0	+5.1	30
8	Gaziantep	20	6	7	7	-7	-2.9	25
9	Kocaelispor	20	6	6	8	-5	-0.4	24
10	Alanyaspor	21	4	11	6	-2	-6.0	23
11	Genclerbirligi	20	6	4	10	-3	-8.6	22
12	Konyaspor	21	4	8	9	-9	-4.6	20
13	Rizespor	21	4	8	9	-9	-2.5	20
14	Antalyaspor	21	5	5	11	-15	-14.2	20
15	Eyüpspor	21	4	6	11	-13	-11.9	18
16	Kasimpasa	20	3	7	10	-12	-9.6	16
17	Kayserispor	20	2	9	9	-25	-14.1	15
18	Karagumruk	21	3	3	15	-21	-11.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	8	3	0	+18	+14.8	27
2	Trabzonspor	10	6	4	0	+11	+6.3	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	0	+12	+16.6	21
4	Goztep	10	6	3	1	+9	+2.7	21
5	Besiktas	11	6	3	2	+5	+12.6	21
6	Kocaelispor	11	5	3	3	+2	+5.9	18
7	Genclerbirligi	10	5	2	3	+3	+2.7	17
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	5	2	+4	+1.7	14
9	Samsunspor	11	3	5	3	-3	+4.7	14
10	Alanyaspor	10	3	3	4	+0	-1.7	12
11	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-5	+2.6	12
12	Konyaspor	11	2	5	4	-2	+1.3	11
13	Rizespor	11	3	2	6	-7	+3.0	11
14	Eyüpspor	11	2	4	5	-7	-3.9	10
15	Karagumruk	11	2	2	7	-9	-2.7	8
16	Antalyaspor	10	2	2	6	-12	-4.4	8
17	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-15	-5.2	6
18	Kasimpasa	10	0	5	5	-7	-0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	+18	+9.8	25
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	0	+16	+7.7	25
3	Trabzonspor	11	7	2	2	+7	-1.2	23
4	Buyuksehyr	11	6	1	4	+10	+3.6	19
5	Goztep	11	5	4	2	+6	-1.1	19
6	Besiktas	10	4	4	2	+5	+7.7	16
7	Samsunspor	10	4	4	2	+3	+0.4	16
8	Gaziantep	10	3	4	3	-2	-5.5	13
9	Antalyaspor	11	3	3	5	-3	-9.8	12
10	Alanyaspor	11	1	8	2	-2	-4.3	11
11	Kasimpasa	10	3	2	5	-5	-9.0	11
12	Rizespor	10	1	6	3	-2	-5.5	9
13	Konyaspor	10	2	3	5	-7	-5.9	9
14	Kayserispor	11	1	6	4	-10	-8.9	9
15	Eyüpspor	10	2	2	6	-6	-8.0	8
16	Kocaelispor	9	1	3	5	-7	-6.3	6
17	Genclerbirligi	10	1	2	7	-6	-11.3	5
18	Karagumruk	10	1	1	8	-12	-8.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.