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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Kol

Kocaelispor

T T T

1–1

Full-time

Kayserispor

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,3

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 0,51

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 15. · Kayserispor 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+10	+7.7	9
2	Trabzonspor	3	3	0	0	+3	+2.3	9
3	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+0.6	8
4	Konyaspor	3	2	1	0	+6	-0.1	7
5	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
6	Antalyaspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.7	6
7	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
8	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.5	3
9	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.5	3
10	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
11	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-3	+1.6	1
12	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-4	-3.2	1
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
14	Genclerbirligi	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.4	0
15	Kocaelispor	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.4	0
16	Karagumruk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
2	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.1	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	Antalyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Eyüpspor	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	3
8	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
9	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
10	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Kocaelispor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
12	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
15	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.6	0
16	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+7	+5.2	6
2	Goztep	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
3	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
4	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
9	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
10	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
11	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
13	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.9	0
14	Kocaelispor	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
15	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.1	0
16	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.