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Süper Lig

Referee: Cagdas Altay

Karagumruk

T S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Kocaelispor

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

0,8

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 23%

13%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

47%

20%

Both score Ø 37%

40%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 1,15

35% Possession 65%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Kocaelispor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	12	3	1	+24	+16.4	39
2	Trabzonspor	15	10	4	1	+14	+2.1	34
3	Fenerbahce	15	9	6	0	+18	+18.5	33
4	Goztep	16	8	5	3	+10	+2.8	29
5	Besiktas	15	7	4	4	+7	+15.4	25
6	Samsunspor	15	6	7	2	+6	+7.8	25
7	Gaziantep	16	6	5	5	-2	-0.7	23
8	Kocaelispor	15	5	4	6	-3	-1.4	19
9	Alanyaspor	16	3	9	4	-1	-4.0	18
10	Rizespor	16	4	6	6	-3	+1.4	18
11	Buyuksehyr	15	4	5	6	+3	-1.9	17
12	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-4	-2.7	16
13	Genclerbirligi	16	4	3	9	-4	-8.0	15
14	Kasimpasa	16	3	6	7	-7	-7.6	15
15	Antalyaspor	16	4	3	9	-14	-10.3	15
16	Kayserispor	16	2	8	6	-17	-10.3	14
17	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-11	-6.5	13
18	Karagumruk	15	2	2	11	-16	-10.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+9.0	20
2	Trabzonspor	8	5	3	0	+10	+6.1	18
3	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+8	+13.2	17
4	Kocaelispor	8	4	3	1	+4	+4.7	15
5	Samsunspor	8	3	4	1	+2	+6.7	13
6	Goztep	7	3	3	1	+4	+2.4	12
7	Besiktas	7	3	2	2	+2	+7.7	11
8	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-5	+3.0	11
9	Genclerbirligi	7	3	1	3	+1	+3.1	10
10	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-4	+5.4	10
11	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.0	9
12	Eyüpspor	8	2	3	3	-3	-0.6	9
13	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-2	+0.4	8
14	Buyuksehyr	7	1	4	2	-1	-1.4	7
15	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-12	-4.0	6
16	Kasimpasa	8	0	4	4	-6	-1.5	4
17	Karagumruk	8	1	1	6	-8	-3.8	4
18	Antalyaspor	8	1	1	6	-13	-3.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+13	+7.4	19
2	Goztep	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.4	17
3	Fenerbahce	8	4	4	0	+10	+5.3	16
4	Trabzonspor	7	5	1	1	+4	-4.0	16
5	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+5	+7.7	14
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.1	12
7	Gaziantep	7	3	3	1	+3	-3.7	12
8	Kasimpasa	8	3	2	3	-1	-6.2	11
9	Antalyaspor	8	3	2	3	-1	-7.0	11
10	Buyuksehyr	8	3	1	4	+4	-0.4	10
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	6	2	-2	-3.0	9
12	Rizespor	7	1	5	1	+1	-4.0	8
13	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-3.1	8
14	Kayserispor	8	1	5	2	-5	-6.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-5	-11.0	5
16	Kocaelispor	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.1	4
17	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-8	-7.1	4
18	Eyüpspor	8	1	1	6	-8	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.