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Süper Lig

Referee: A Akarsu

Kocaelispor

U U S T U

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 48%

32%

63%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

26%

58%

Both score Ø 53%

42%

63%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,72 xG 0,80

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 9. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	20	15	4	1	+33	+23.1	49
2	Fenerbahce	19	12	7	0	+26	+24.3	43
3	Trabzonspor	20	12	6	2	+15	+3.0	42
4	Goztep	20	11	6	3	+15	+1.9	39
5	Besiktas	20	10	6	4	+10	+18.1	36
6	Buyuksehyr	20	8	6	6	+13	+2.7	30
7	Samsunspor	20	7	9	4	+3	+7.2	30
8	Gaziantep	20	6	7	7	-7	-2.9	25
9	Kocaelispor	19	6	6	7	-3	-0.3	24
10	Alanyaspor	20	4	10	6	-2	-3.8	22
11	Genclerbirligi	20	6	4	10	-3	-8.6	22
12	Rizespor	20	4	8	8	-6	-1.0	20
13	Antalyaspor	20	5	5	10	-14	-12.2	20
14	Konyaspor	20	4	7	9	-9	-5.0	19
15	Eyüpspor	20	4	6	10	-12	-9.3	18
16	Kasimpasa	20	3	7	10	-12	-9.6	16
17	Kayserispor	20	2	9	9	-25	-14.1	15
18	Karagumruk	20	2	3	15	-22	-13.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	8	3	0	+18	+14.8	27
2	Trabzonspor	10	6	4	0	+11	+6.3	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	0	+12	+16.6	21
4	Goztep	10	6	3	1	+9	+2.7	21
5	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+10.4	20
6	Kocaelispor	10	5	3	2	+4	+6.0	18
7	Genclerbirligi	10	5	2	3	+3	+2.7	17
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	5	2	+4	+1.7	14
9	Samsunspor	10	3	5	2	+0	+6.8	14
10	Alanyaspor	10	3	3	4	+0	-1.7	12
11	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-5	+2.6	12
12	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	-4	+4.5	11
13	Konyaspor	10	2	4	4	-2	+1.0	10
14	Eyüpspor	10	2	4	4	-6	-1.3	10
15	Antalyaspor	10	2	2	6	-12	-4.4	8
16	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-15	-5.2	6
17	Kasimpasa	10	0	5	5	-7	-0.6	5
18	Karagumruk	10	1	2	7	-10	-4.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	7	1	1	+15	+8.3	22
2	Fenerbahce	10	6	4	0	+14	+7.6	22
3	Trabzonspor	10	6	2	2	+4	-3.2	20
4	Goztep	10	5	3	2	+6	-0.8	18
5	Buyuksehyr	10	5	1	4	+9	+1.0	16
6	Besiktas	10	4	4	2	+5	+7.7	16
7	Samsunspor	10	4	4	2	+3	+0.4	16
8	Gaziantep	10	3	4	3	-2	-5.5	13
9	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-2	-7.8	12
10	Kasimpasa	10	3	2	5	-5	-9.0	11
11	Alanyaspor	10	1	7	2	-2	-2.1	10
12	Rizespor	10	1	6	3	-2	-5.5	9
13	Konyaspor	10	2	3	5	-7	-5.9	9
14	Kayserispor	11	1	6	4	-10	-8.9	9
15	Eyüpspor	10	2	2	6	-6	-8.0	8
16	Kocaelispor	9	1	3	5	-7	-6.3	6
17	Genclerbirligi	10	1	2	7	-6	-11.3	5
18	Karagumruk	10	1	1	8	-12	-8.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.