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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: M Huru

Moss

S T S S S

0–2

Full-time

Valerenga

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,5

Scored

2,2

3,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 62%

60%

63%

Points per game

1,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

73%

63%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,9

2,6

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 3. · Valerenga 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valerenga	16	10	3	3	+21	33
2	Egersund	16	8	5	3	+8	29
3	Moss	15	9	2	4	+5	29
4	Bryne	16	9	1	6	+6	28
5	Sogndal	16	7	5	4	+10	26
6	Stabaek	16	7	5	4	+7	26
7	Kongsvinger	14	7	4	3	+0	25
8	Lyn	15	6	5	4	+9	23
9	Ranheim	16	5	5	6	+1	20
10	Raufoss	16	5	5	6	-3	20
11	Levanger	15	4	7	4	+7	19
12	Mjondalen	15	3	5	7	-7	14
13	Asane	16	3	5	8	-9	14
14	Start	16	3	4	9	-15	13
15	Sandnes ULF	15	2	4	9	-24	10
16	Aalesund	15	2	3	10	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Sogndal	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	Valerenga	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Stabaek	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Moss	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Kongsvinger	8	4	3	1	+2	15
7	Ranheim	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Lyn	7	3	3	1	+8	12
9	Start	8	3	2	3	-3	11
10	Mjondalen	9	2	4	3	-2	10
11	Raufoss	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Asane	8	2	4	2	-5	10
13	Levanger	6	2	3	1	+8	9
14	Egersund	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	Sandnes ULF	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Aalesund	9	1	2	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Egersund	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Valerenga	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Moss	8	4	1	3	-1	13
4	Lyn	8	3	2	3	+1	11
5	Raufoss	8	2	4	2	+1	10
6	Stabaek	8	2	4	2	-1	10
7	Levanger	9	2	4	3	-1	10
8	Kongsvinger	6	3	1	2	-2	10
9	Sogndal	8	2	3	3	-2	9
10	Ranheim	9	1	4	4	-4	7
11	Bryne	7	2	0	5	-3	6
12	Asane	8	1	1	6	-4	4
13	Mjondalen	6	1	1	4	-5	4
14	Aalesund	6	1	1	4	-7	4
15	Start	8	0	2	6	-12	2
16	Sandnes ULF	8	0	2	6	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.